Result
4:1
13/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.76 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.05% (4/19) | 2.86% (1/35) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 97.14% (34/35) | 83.33% (15/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 12.5% (1/8) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (7/8) | 100% (6/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.46 | 47.54 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 07:38, 1 - 0, Mattila Je. (G), Juolevi O. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
- 15:51, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 16:00, 1 - 1, Klingberg C. (G), Henman L. (A), Looke J. (A2)
- 18:01, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 19:39, Borg E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:24, Keskinen O. (2 min),
- 08:04, Simontaival K. (2 min),
- 14:38, 2 - 1, Tanus K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
- 19:54, 3 - 1, Rauhala O. (G), Haapala H. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
- 19:54, Haapala H. (2 min),
- 19:54, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:48, Tuulola J. (2 min),
- 05:18, Tuulola J. (2 min),
- 05:18, Parikka J. (2 min),
- 13:44, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
- 15:14, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 16:09, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 18:30, 4 - 1, Sylvegard E. (G),
- 19:53, Kucerik R. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tappara
39% | Draw
24.9% | Ilves
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Tappara - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.26) |
3.7 ↓
(3.91) |
2.59 ↓
(2.82) |
7.5%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Tappara - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Tappara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ilves is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 45:58. (average 2.3:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.6:3.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Ilves?
Tappara has won 9 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Tappara?
Ilves has won 20 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Ilves were as follows:
23.01.2026
Ilves
-
Tappara
2:6
28.11.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
3:0
14.11.2025
Ilves
-
Tappara
4:2
24.10.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
1:3
08.08.2025
Ilves
-
Tappara
3:4
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
