Tappara vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
28/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV 3, MTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.551.88
Shots on Goal
2918
Shots off target
1015
Shooting PCT
10.34% (3/29)0% (0/18)
Blocked Shots
1016
Goalkeeper Saves
1826
Saves PCT
100% (18/18)89.66% (26/29)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
2736
Faceoffs %
42.8657.14
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:45, Latvala O. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 07:21, 1 - 0, Tuulola E. (G), Haapala H. (A), Suvanto O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 03:46, 2 - 0, Mattila Je. (G),
  • 12:34, 3 - 0, Andersson J. (G), Tanus K. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
  • 15:36, Pavel O. (2 min),
  • 15:36, Palola O. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Tappara
41.9%
Draw
24.4%
Ilves
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 23.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 22.8% 31%

Tappara - Ilves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.24
(2.1)
3.8
(3.9)
2.82
(2.86)
6.5%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Tappara - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: Tappara will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tappara will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Tappara could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 42:65. (average 2.1:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 1.6:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Ilves were as follows:
    14.11.2025 Ilves - Tappara 4:2
    24.10.2025 Tappara - Ilves 1:3
    08.08.2025 Ilves - Tappara 3:4
    02.04.2025 Tappara - Ilves 1:6
    31.03.2025 Ilves - Tappara 3:2
    Latest results of Tappara
    26.11.2025 Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit 4:3
    22.11.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara 2:3
    20.11.2025 Tappara - Vaasan Sport 4:3
    15.11.2025 Tappara - Pelicans 2:0
    14.11.2025 Ilves - Tappara 4:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    25.11.2025 Ilves - Pelicans 3:0
    22.11.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves 4:3
    15.11.2025 HPK - Ilves 2:3
    14.11.2025 Ilves - Tappara 4:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tappara3018228106:7160
    2Assat3116311195:7755
    3Lukko3016311094:7655
    4JYP2815427108:8455
    5KooKoo31145111105:8553
    6SaiPa3014349103:8152
    7KalPa2913311292:9546
    8Ilves2911431181:8644
    9Kiekko-Espoo3211351384:9544
    10TPS Turku329561275:8243
    11Jukurit3211331573:8542
    12Pelicans2910351160:6941
    13IFK Helsinki3211231667:10340
    14Hameenlinna318451476:8737
    15Karpat319331696:10636
    16Vaasan Sport296161663:9626

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)