Tappara vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Tappara - Ilves
Result
1:3
24/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.142.16
Shots on Goal
2725
Shots off target
1818
Shooting PCT
3.7% (1/27)12% (3/25)
Blocked Shots
1212
Goalkeeper Saves
2226
Saves PCT
91.67% (22/24)96.3% (26/27)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (4/4)
Faceoffs Won
2437
Faceoffs %
39.3460.66
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:26, Engberg T. (2 min),
  • 07:50, 0 - 1, Borg E. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 05:49, Borg E. (2 min),
  • 10:20, Parikka J. (2 min),
  • 13:58, Svejkovsky L. (2 min),
  • 19:44, Haapala H. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:35, Tuulola E. (2 min),
  • 02:48, 0 - 2, Svejkovsky L. (G), Heikkinen I. (A), Borg E. (A2)
  • 10:37, 1 - 2, Mattila Ju. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
  • 19:43, 1 - 3, Torok M. (G), Henman L. (A), Nyberg J. (A2)
  • 19:43, Nykanen J. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Tappara
52.4%
Draw
22%
Ilves
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 22% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 20.3% 26.3%

Tappara - Ilves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.74)
4.28
(4.25)
3.69
(3.85)
6.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Tappara - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ilves will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tappara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tappara could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:63. (average 2.3:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:37. (average 2:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Ilves were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Ilves - Tappara 3:4
    02.04.2025 Tappara - Ilves 1:6
    31.03.2025 Ilves - Tappara 3:2
    28.03.2025 Tappara - Ilves 1:2
    26.03.2025 Ilves - Tappara 4:0
    Latest results of Tappara
    22.10.2025 Pelicans - Tappara 2:5
    18.10.2025 Tappara - Kiekko-Espoo 3:4
    17.10.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - Tappara 4:3
    11.10.2025 Tappara - Ässät 2:1
    10.10.2025 Ässät - Tappara 3:2
    Latest results of Ilves
    18.10.2025 TPS - Ilves 4:3
    17.10.2025 Ilves - TPS 4:3
    14.10.2025 Ilves - ZSC Lions 4:1
    11.10.2025 HIFK - Ilves 6:1
    10.10.2025 Ilves - HIFK 3:0
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat191210660:4038
    2JYP181121472:5038
    3Tappara191102664:4535
    4Jukurit211020952:5434
    5SaiPa20923663:5234
    6Kiekko-Espoo20824658:5732
    7Lukko19920855:4831
    8KalPa18831656:5431
    9KooKoo19830862:6130
    10TPS Turku19553643:4728
    11Hameenlinna20633852:5927
    12Ilves206221056:6924
    13Karpat206111266:7021
    14Pelicans18425735:4821
    15Vaasan Sport18505845:5420
    16IFK Helsinki205111335:6618

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )