Result
2:6
23/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.81 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (2/18) | 37.5% (6/16) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 62.5% (10/16) | 88.89% (16/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.83 | 52.17 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 3)
- 02:48, 0 - 1, Tuulola E. (G),
- 05:07, 0 - 2, Tuulola J. (G), Tuulola E. (A), Rauhala O. (A2)
- 08:22, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 09:59, 0 - 3, Tanus K. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Keskinen O. (A2)
- 09:59, Armalis M. ↓, Pavlat D. ↑,
- 11:06, Simontaival K. (2 min),
- 11:47, 1 - 3, Looke J. (G), Jasek L. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:26, Suvanto O. (2 min),
- 10:42, Suvanto O. (2 min),
- 13:39, 1 - 4, Simontaival K. (G),
- 19:37, 1 - 5, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:36, 2 - 5, Svejkovsky L. (G), Parikka J. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
- 04:32, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 05:27, 2 - 6, Brickley D. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
- 14:44, Tuulola E. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ilves
38.4% | Draw
23.9% | Tappara
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ilves - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.53) |
3.84 ↓
(4.09) |
2.48 ↑
(2.34) |
7.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - Tappara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 60:42. (average 3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 2.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Tappara?
Ilves has won 20 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Ilves?
Tappara has won 8 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Tappara were as follows:
28.11.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
3:0
14.11.2025
Ilves
-
Tappara
4:2
24.10.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
1:3
08.08.2025
Ilves
-
Tappara
3:4
02.04.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
1:6
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
