Result
4:3 OT
06/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.74 | 2.62 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.43% (4/35) | 12% (3/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88% (22/25) | 88.57% (31/35) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 33 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (2/6) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.14 | 43.86 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 01:23, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Torok M. (A), Bjorkqvist K. (A2)
- 04:28, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 05:47, 1 - 1, Tanus K. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Haapala H. (A2)
- 09:30, Engberg T. (2 min),
- 13:08, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 18:37, 1 - 2, Blichfeld J. (G),
- 18:46, Brickley D. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 06:24, Rasanen A. (5 min),
- 09:05, 2 - 2, Klingberg C. (G), Johansson S. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
- 09:07, (2 min),
- 09:42, 3 - 2, Henman L. (G), Johansson S. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
- 14:43, Soini S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 17:26, 3 - 3, Blichfeld J. (G), Keskinen O. (A),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 01:34, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 03', 4 - 3, (G),
Chances of winning
Ilves
30.1% | Draw
23.2% | Tappara
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilves - Tappara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.67) |
4.05 ↓
(4.17) |
2 ↓
(2.12) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Ilves has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tappara is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:46. (average 2.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 2.6:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Tappara?
Ilves has won 20 of their last 30 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Ilves?
Tappara has won 10 of their last 30 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Tappara were as follows:
13.02.2026
Tappara
-
Ilves
4:1
23.01.2026
Ilves
-
Tappara
2:6
28.11.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
3:0
14.11.2025
Ilves
-
Tappara
4:2
24.10.2025
Tappara
-
Ilves
1:3
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
