Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 2.58 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.7% (1/27) | 10% (2/20) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 96.3% (26/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.63 | 42.37 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:26, Parssinen J. (2 min),
- 06:16, 1 - 0, Tuulola E. (G), Jokipakka J. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
- 07:31, Tuulola J. (2 min),
- 10:27, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 00:01, Makiniemi E. ↓, Vali N. ↑,
- 06:16, Sjoholm V. (2 min),
- 07:12, Rasanen A. (2 min),
- 09:17, 1 - 1, Lehtonen S. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Rafkin R. (A2)
- 10:50, 1 - 2, Soderlund T. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Sjoholm V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 11:49, Juolevi O. (2 min),
- 19:13, Maatta J. (2 min),
- 19:50, Tanus K. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tappara
57.7% | Draw
20.5% | TPS
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Tappara - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.86) |
4.75 ↑
(4.02) |
4.56 ↑
(3.52) |
4.2%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Tappara - TPS?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 7 - 70%). TPS will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tappara: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Tappara has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- TPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tappara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tappara has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tappara is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 59:37. (average 3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against TPS?
Tappara has won 13 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Tappara?
TPS has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - TPS were as follows:
01.03.2025
TPS
-
Tappara
2:7
28.02.2025
Tappara
-
TPS
2:5
02.11.2024
TPS
-
Tappara
3:4
10.09.2024
Tappara
-
TPS
2:3
30.03.2024
TPS
-
Tappara
4:5
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
