Result
4:3
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 2.61 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12.12% (4/33) | 10.34% (3/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.66% (26/29) | 87.88% (29/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.15 | 50.85 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 07:32, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 09:32, Haapala H. (2 min),
- 09:32, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 15:35, 1 - 0, Sylvegard E. (G), Rauhala O. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
- 18:48, Myllymaa K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 04:18, 2 - 0, Jokipakka J. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Pavel O. (A2)
- 06:34, Ruokonen M. (2 min),
- 12:01, 3 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Jokipakka J. (A), Matinmikko A. (A2)
- 13:15, 3 - 1, Saarela A. (G), Sjoholm V. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
- 17:45, 3 - 2, Pakkila E. (G), Rafkin R. (A), Binner A. (A2)
- 19:00, Sylvegard E. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:44, Simontaival K. (2 min),
- 06:01, 3 - 3, Myllymaa K. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Maatta J. (A2)
- 07:48, 4 - 3, Tanus K. (G), Tuulola J. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
- 12:42, Savinainen V. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tappara
61.3% | Draw
19.9% | TPS
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Tappara - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.54) |
4.59 ↓
(4.74) |
4.99 ↑
(4.74) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Tappara - TPS?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Tappara is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:44. (average 3.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against TPS?
Tappara has won 14 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Tappara?
TPS has won 7 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - TPS were as follows:
17.01.2026
TPS
-
Tappara
4:2
13.12.2025
TPS
-
Tappara
3:5
23.09.2025
Tappara
-
TPS
1:2
01.03.2025
TPS
-
Tappara
2:7
28.02.2025
Tappara
-
TPS
2:5
Latest results of Tappara
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
