Tarancón vs Marchamalo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 1, ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Tarancón
57.5%
Draw
25.6%
Marchamalo
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 25.4% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 24.2% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Tarancón - Marchamalo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.56)
    3.54
    (3.58)
    5.4
    (5.44)
    10.1%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • Tarancón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Marchamalo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tarancón is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Tarancón will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tarancón - Marchamalo were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Tarancón - Marchamalo 2:1
    13.01.2024 Tarancón - Marchamalo 0:0
    22.01.2023 Tarancón - Marchamalo 2:0
    Latest results of Tarancón
    30.11.2025 Azuqueca - Tarancón 1:2
    22.11.2025 Tarancón - Villarrubia 0:0
    16.11.2025 Sonseca - Tarancón 1:7
    09.11.2025 Pedroñeras - Tarancón 1:3
    Latest results of Marchamalo
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo23156238:122651
    2Tarancon23155343:172650
    3Puertollano C.F23146333:141948
    4Ciudad Real23133739:221742
    5Albacete B23119331:141742
    6Villacanas23117524:131140
    7Villarrubia23115730:22838
    8San Clemente2388724:27-332
    9Guadalajara B2387821:22-131
    10Marchamalo23851029:29029
    11La Solana2369816:21-527
    12Villarrobledo2368920:28-826
    13Huracan de Balazote23821325:35-1026
    14Illescas23581016:27-1123
    15Azuqueca232101116:28-1216
    16Pedroneras232101119:35-1616
    17Sonseca23261516:49-3312
    18Cazalegas23261512:37-2512

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation