Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tarancón 57.5% | Draw 25.6% | Marchamalo 16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Tarancón - Marchamalo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↑ (1.56) |
3.54 ↓ (3.58) |
5.4 ↓ (5.44) |
10.1% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Tarancón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Marchamalo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tarancón is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Tarancón will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tarancón won against Marchamalo?
Tarancón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marchamalo won against Tarancón?
Marchamalo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tarancón - Marchamalo were as follows:
22.09.2024
Tarancón
-
Marchamalo
2:1
13.01.2024
Tarancón
-
Marchamalo
0:0
22.01.2023
Tarancón
-
Marchamalo
2:0
Latest results of Tarancón
Latest results of Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toledo | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 45:13 | 32 | 56 |
| 2 | Puertollano C.F | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Tarancon | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | Ciudad Real | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 25:16 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guadalajara B | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 24:25 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Huracan de Balazote | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 30 |
| 11 | Villarrobledo | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Marchamalo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | La Solana | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Illescas | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Pedroneras | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | Cazalegas | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 14:49 | -35 | 15 |
| 18 | Sonseca | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 18:54 | -36 | 13 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )
Relegation