Result
04/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Elva 31.3% | Draw 23.6% | Tartu Welco 45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Welco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Welco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Elva - Tartu Welco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.44) |
3.81 ↑ (3.5) |
1.99 ↓ (2.4) |
11.4% (11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Elva has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elva won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Elva won against Tartu Welco?
Elva has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tartu Welco won against Elva?
Tartu Welco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Tartu Welco were as follows:
14.06.2025
Tartu Welco
-
Elva
2:5
15.03.2025
Elva
-
Tartu Welco
3:1
28.09.2024
Elva
-
Tartu Welco
0:1
24.08.2024
Tartu Welco
-
Elva
0:0
02.06.2024
Tartu Welco
-
Elva
0:0
Latest results of Tartu Welco
Estonian Esiliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nomme Utd | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 69:16 | 53 | 55 |
2 | Viimsi JK | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 48 |
3 | Tartu Welco | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 46:30 | 16 | 40 |
4 | Elva | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 43:36 | 7 | 38 |
5 | FC Tallinn | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Flora U21 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 27 |
7 | Nomme Kalju U21 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 31:52 | -21 | 25 |
8 | Levadia U21 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 23 |
9 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 33:56 | -23 | 13 |
10 | Tammeka U21 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 22:86 | -64 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga B