Elva vs Tartu Welco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga Elva - Tartu Welco
04/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 22

Chances of winning


Elva
31.3%
Draw
23.6%
Tartu Welco
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 25.7% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 25.5% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.
  • Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Welco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Welco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elva - Tartu Welco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.44)
    3.81
    (3.5)
    1.99
    (2.4)
    11.4%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Elva has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elva won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - Tartu Welco were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Tartu Welco - Elva 2:5
    15.03.2025 Elva - Tartu Welco 3:1
    28.09.2024 Elva - Tartu Welco 0:1
    24.08.2024 Tartu Welco - Elva 0:0
    02.06.2024 Tartu Welco - Elva 0:0
    Latest results of Elva
    30.07.2025 Elva - Tallinna JK Legion 3:0
    26.07.2025 Elva - Tammeka U21 2:1
    19.07.2025 Elva - Viimsi JK 0:3
    12.07.2025 Flora U21 - Elva 2:0
    05.07.2025 Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21 5:3
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd22181369:165355
    2Viimsi JK21153346:153148
    3Tartu Welco21124546:301640
    4Elva21115543:36738
    5FC Tallinn2294942:40231
    6Flora U212276939:34527
    7Nomme Kalju U2121811231:52-2125
    8Levadia U2122651137:43-623
    9Tallinna Kalev U2122271333:56-2313
    10Tammeka U2122202022:86-646

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