Result
0:1
18/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 23
- Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Kozic A. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Vassallo J. (Own goal),
- 44', Leo Fernandes (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kozic A. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
- 46', Emmanuel P. ↓, Agius A. ↑,
- 46', Zibo S. ↓, Giancarlo ↑,
- 46', Claudio Murici ↓, Musulin M. ↑,
- 69', Erico Junior ↓, Donsu K. ↑,
- 73', Cassar A. 🟨,
- 73', Schmidt P. ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
- 82', Pedro Cacho 🟨,
- 88', Kuku A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mosta 41.4% | Draw 27.1% | Tarxien Rainbows 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosta's performance.Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarxien Rainbows might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarxien Rainbows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↓ (2.86) |
3.35 ↑ (3.18) |
2.88 ↑ (2.36) |
10.2% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 4.
- Mosta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tarxien is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Tarxien Rainbows?
Mosta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tarxien Rainbows won against Mosta?
Tarxien Rainbows has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows were as follows:
08.01.2026
Mosta
-
Tarxien Rainbows
2:2
02.11.2025
Tarxien Rainbows
-
Mosta
0:1
Latest results of Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana ✔ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Hamrun ✔ | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Gzira | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Valletta | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar ✔ | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Tarxien ✔ | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta ✔ | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )