Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 24
- Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', D'Alessandro M. 🟨,
- 29', Vinicius Baiano 🟨,
- 29', Farias E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 51', D'Alessandro M. 🟥,
- 53', 0 - 2, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 54', Musulin M. ↓, Donsu K. ↑,
- 54', Wesley Hudson ↓, Nhayson ↑,
- 54', Erico Junior ↓, Claudio Murici ↑,
- 55', Panic P. 🟨,
- 61', Valverde A. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Donsu K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tarxien Rainbows
13.1% | Draw
20.4% | Naxxar Lions
66.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarxien Rainbows's form might have worsened.Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarxien Rainbows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.8 ↑
(3.14) |
5.66 ↑
(3.52) |
1.73 ↓
(2) |
-13.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 1.
- Recent form of Tarxien has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Naxxar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tarxien has had a series of away games.
- Naxxar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tarxien won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tarxien Rainbows won against Naxxar Lions?
Tarxien Rainbows has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Tarxien Rainbows?
Naxxar Lions has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
11.01.2026
Naxxar Lions
-
Tarxien Rainbows
1:0
16.09.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Tarxien Rainbows
2:3
31.03.2023
Naxxar Lions
-
Tarxien Rainbows
2:1
29.01.2023
Tarxien Rainbows
-
Naxxar Lions
0:3
10.09.2022
Tarxien Rainbows
-
Naxxar Lions
1:1
Latest results of Tarxien Rainbows
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana ✔ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Hamrun ✔ | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Gzira | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Valletta | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar ✔ | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Tarxien ✔ | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta ✔ | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
