Andrey Rublev vs Taylor Harry Fritz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz
Result
0:2
05/08/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
620
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
54%66%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (24/31)79% (38/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (15/26)64% (16/25)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)75% (3/4)
Average 1st Serve Speed
196 km/h198 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
158 km/h156 km/h
1st Return Points Won
21% (10/48)23% (7/31)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (9/25)42% (11/26)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)100% (2/2)
Winners
2128
Unforced Errors
2621
Net Points Won
67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
68% (39/57)74% (54/73)
Return Points Won
26% (19/73)32% (18/57)
Total Points Won
45% (58/130)55% (72/130)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Andrey Rublev
33.7%
Taylor Harry Fritz
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 68.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.97)

    1.44
    (1.41)
    4.6%
    (4.6%)
    What is the prediction for Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Rublev will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Fritz will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 70.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rublev (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fritz (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rublev is ranked ATP: 11. Fritz is ranked ATP: 4.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 2.
    • Recent performances by Rublev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fritz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fritz might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Fritz will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz were as follows:
    03.05.2024 Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev 0:2
    23.09.2023 Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz 0:2
    15.04.2023 Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz 2:1
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    03.08.2025 Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Davidovich Fokina A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14)1 : 0
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)2 : 1
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.2 : 0
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)1 : 2
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20)1 : 1
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Popyrin A. (18)2 : 1
    2Michelsen A. (26)Khachanov K. (11)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (9)Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    4Rublev A. (6)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Khachanov K. (11)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (11)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2