Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/336) | 83% (349/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/336) | 83% (349/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (48/80) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Perez M. 🟨,
- 41', Ponguillo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Morocho S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 46', 0 - 1, Estupinan L. ⚽,
- 51', Perez M. 🟨,
- 56', Cristobal R. ↓, Perea M. ↑,
- 63', Mancinelli L. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 70', Piedra M. 🟨,
- 78', Cuero Fabian 🟥,
- 86', Arroyo L. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 86', Estupinan L. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 86', Minda T. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 90+1', Andrade J. ↓, Norona M. ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, Ordonez J. ⚽, Leguizamon N. (A),
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
18.2% | Draw
34.9% | Deportivo Cuenca
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Técnico Universitario's form might have worsened.Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Cuenca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.89 ↑
(2.82) |
3.76 ↑
(3.25) |
2.62 ↑
(2.35) |
-22.5%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
- Técnico Univ is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Técnico Univ has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Técnico Universitario has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Técnico Universitario?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
16.05.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Técnico Universitario
2:0
05.10.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Técnico Universitario
1:1
17.04.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
28.08.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Técnico Universitario
1:1
02.04.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:0
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
