Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (126/211) | 76% (312/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (126/211) | 76% (312/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/62) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 50% (56/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Vera D. 🟨,
- 29', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Cristobal R. ⚽, Minda T. (A),
- 36', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
- 46', Viera M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 61', Alvarez L. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 64', Vera D. ↓, Celis R. ↑,
- 65', Minda T. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
- 66', Patta E. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
- 69', Perea M. ↓, Luzarraga R. ↑,
- 73', Arena N. 🟨,
- 74', Cazares J. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 85', Medranda M. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 88', Correa C. 🟨,
- 89', Paz F. 🟨,
- 90', Paz F. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
34% | Draw
32.5% | Deportivo Macará
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Técnico Universitario's form might have worsened.Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.05) |
2.88 ↓
(3.14) |
2.78 ↓
(3.5) |
7.3%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
- Recent form of Técnico Univ has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Deportivo Macará?
Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Técnico Universitario?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
30.03.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
10.02.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Técnico Universitario
0:0
01.09.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Técnico Universitario
0:0
24.03.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Deportivo Macará
1:1
17.10.2022
Técnico Universitario
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
