Result
1:2
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (281/340) | 80% (249/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (281/340) | 80% (249/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (45/67) | 60% (49/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 54% (7/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Herrera O. ↓, Patta E. ↑,
- 28', Andrade J. 🟨,
- 34', Gomez Pereyra M. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 40', Perez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Andrade J. ↓, Carcelen Ed. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Cuero Fabian ⚽, Minda T. (A),
- 54', 1 - 1, Herrera A. (Pen),
- 62', Vinan B. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 66', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 82', Torres E. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 82', Vera D. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Mena A. (Pen),
- 90+5', Vasquez S. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 90+5', Mena A. ↓, Olinick A. ↑,
- 90+5', Caicedo B. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
40.6% | Draw
30.4% | Orense
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Técnico Universitario - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.4) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
3.18 ↑
(2.89) |
8.6%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Técnico Universitario - Orense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Orense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 3.
- Recent form of Técnico Univ has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Orense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Técnico Univ could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Orense?
Técnico Universitario has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Técnico Universitario?
Orense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Orense were as follows:
10.03.2025
Orense
-
Técnico Universitario
2:1
10.11.2024
Orense
-
Técnico Universitario
0:2
20.05.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Orense
1:0
07.10.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Orense
2:1
05.05.2023
Orense
-
Técnico Universitario
2:1
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
