Result
4:1
31/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 21
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (375/466) | 72% (244/337) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (375/466) | 72% (244/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 52% (37/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (77/111) | 56% (61/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 3.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.30 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Shoretire S. ⚽, Graves S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Hatenboer C. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
- 46', Monteiro J. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Rossen N. ⚽,
- 61', Hetli S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Kostons K. ⚽,
- 70', 3 - 1, Gooijer T. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
- 77', Shoretire S. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
- 77', Zonneveld M. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
- 77', Noslin T. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Kostons K. ⚽, de Rooij K. (A),
- 88', Oosting T. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
- 88', Fichtinger N. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
- 88', Namli Y. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
41.2% | Draw
26.7% | Telstar
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Zwolle - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.12) |
3.55 ↑
(3.5) |
2.96 ↓
(3.17) |
5.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 38.8% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Telstar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Zwolle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Telstar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Inactive)
Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Thomas R.
(Yellow Cards)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 2.8:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Telstar?
Zwolle has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Zwolle?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Telstar were as follows:
15.08.2025
Telstar
-
Zwolle
0:2
14.04.2023
Zwolle
-
Telstar
2:0
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
