Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 23', Islas O. 🟨,
- 31', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 42', Hernandez S. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 51', Lara M. 🟨,
- 54', Cisneros C. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
- 54', Gonzalez O. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 64', Lara M. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
- 65', Brigido J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 74', Cardona U. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 74', Dominguez I. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 79', Guzman W. 🟨,
- 81', Mendoza B. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
- 86', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 87', Aguilar D. ↓, Gonzalez Calderon L. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
34.6% | Draw
27.2% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tepatitlán de Morelos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros UdeG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.36) |
3.4 ↑
(3.2) |
2.42 ↓
(2.75) |
8.3%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
- Leones Negros UdeG is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tepatitlán is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tepatitlán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
07.09.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
27.04.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
24.04.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:1
28.02.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
15.09.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
