Result
15/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
39% | Draw
27.8% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.36) |
3.31 ↑
(3.2) |
2.77 ↑
(2.75) |
8.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
- Leones Negros UdeG has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tepatitlán is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
07.09.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
27.04.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
24.04.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:1
28.02.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
15.09.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Tapatio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Venados | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Atl. Morelia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Cancun | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Atlante | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
