Result
1:1
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Camacho Lastra R. E. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 31', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 33', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Munoz Z. ↓, Aguilar M. ↑,
- 46', Chavez A. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
- 49', Torres U. 🟨,
- 58', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 62', Reyes J. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 63', Lopez R. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 63', Rivera E. ↓, Fierro C. ↑,
- 69', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
- 74', Garcia B. D. O. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
- 74', Cardona U. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 76', Flores B. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 76', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Ocon L. ⚽, Ballesteros O. (A),
- 90+3', Ballesteros O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
45.9% | Draw
26.6% | Leones Negros UdeG
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.02) |
3.46 ↑
(3.41) |
3.34 ↓
(3.43) |
8.6%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
- Tepatitlán is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tepatitlán is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
27.04.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
24.04.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:1
28.02.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
15.09.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
10.04.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3:2
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
