Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports, ESPN 4, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
 World | Disney+, Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Marchand J. ⚽,
- 39', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Lorona L. ⚽,
- 55', Cardona U. 🟨,
- 60', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 60', Flores B. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
- 66', Marchand J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽,
- 75', Aguilar M. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 75', Alvarez D. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
- 79', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 79', Organista A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 83', Munoz Z. ↓, Pastrana E. ↑,
- 83', Venegas J. ↓, Montano T. ↑,
- 87', Ruiz A. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
- 89', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Carreon A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lorona L. 🟥,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
50.7% | Draw
25.1% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones Negros UdeG's performance.Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tepatitlán de Morelos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-20.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+18.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tepatitlán de Morelos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(3) |
3.71 ↑
(3.52) |
3.84 ↑
(2.25) |
7.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
- Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tepatitlán is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
24.04.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:1
28.02.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
15.09.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
10.04.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3:2
12.08.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
