Result
20/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
41.7% | Draw
28% | Jaiba Brava
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.27) |
3.34 ↓
(3.4) |
3.08 ↑
(2.92) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Jaiba Brava?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Jaiba Brava has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
09.08.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Jaiba Brava
0:0
29.03.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:1
11.10.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Jaiba Brava
1:1
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tampico Madero (3) | Leones Negros (6) | 4 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atlante (1) | Tepatitlan de Morelos (8) | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Irapuato (4) | Zacatecas Mineros (5) | 2 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Cancun (2) | Atl. Morelia (7) | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tampico Madero (3) | Tepatitlan de Morelos (8) | |
| 2 | Irapuato (4) | Atl. Morelia (7) | 0 : 0 |
