Termalica Nieciecza vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
40
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
2013
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Kubica K. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 45', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Strzalek I. 🟨,
  • 58', Orlik K. , Zyra P. ,
  • 58', Janaszek F. , Litwa M. ,
  • 59', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 66', Karasek K. , Nowakowski J. ,
  • 66', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 69', Deja A. , Oduko O. ,
  • 73', Hilbrycht D. , Zaviyskyi T. ,
  • 75', De Amo J. 🟨,
  • 76', Kryeziu E. , Malamis P. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Banaszak P. , Bednarczyk J. (A),
  • 82', Fassbender M. , Wrobel J. ,
  • 82', Kubica K. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 90', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
56.9%
Draw
24.1%
Górnik Łęczna
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 25.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.89)
    4.89
    (4.85)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Termalica (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Termalica (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Termalica Nieciecza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:2
    28.04.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1
    28.10.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 3:0
    23.04.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1
    17.09.2022 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 2:2
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla23147254:193549
    2Polonia Warszawa23117539:32740
    3Grodzisk M23109441:301139
    4Chrobry Glogow23115732:221038
    5Wieczysta Krakow23107648:351337
    6Slask Wroclaw23107642:37537
    7Polonia Bytom23105838:30835
    8Legnica23105839:39035
    9S. Rzeszow23105835:36-135
    10Ruch Chorzow2397735:33234
    11LKS Lodz2396834:35-133
    12Puszcza23610729:30-128
    13Pogon Siedlce2369825:25027
    14Odra Opole2368921:29-826
    15Pruszkow23551324:45-2120
    16Stal Mielec23451427:48-2117
    17Leczna232101126:42-1616
    18Tychy23351528:50-2214

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2