Termalica Nieciecza vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna
Result
3:1
11/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
40
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
2013
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Kubica K. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 45', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Strzalek I. 🟨,
  • 58', Orlik K. , Zyra P. ,
  • 58', Janaszek F. , Litwa M. ,
  • 59', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 66', Karasek K. , Nowakowski J. ,
  • 66', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 69', Deja A. , Oduko O. ,
  • 73', Hilbrycht D. , Zaviyskyi T. ,
  • 75', De Amo J. 🟨,
  • 76', Kryeziu E. , Malamis P. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Banaszak P. , Bednarczyk J. (A),
  • 82', Fassbender M. , Wrobel J. ,
  • 82', Kubica K. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 90', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
56.9%
Draw
24.1%
Górnik Łęczna
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 25.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.89)
    4.89
    (4.85)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:2
    28.04.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1
    28.10.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 3:0
    23.04.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1
    17.09.2022 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 2:2
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla14112142:123035
    2Slask Wroclaw1483325:20527
    3Chrobry Glogow1474321:13825
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow1365228:171123
    5Grodzisk M1364327:19822
    6Polonia Bytom1463520:16421
    7S. Rzeszow1462623:25-220
    8Pogon Siedlce1454520:16419
    9Odra Opole1447314:15-119
    10LKS Lodz1453622:22018
    11Ruch Chorzow1446420:22-218
    12Legnica1453620:28-818
    13Polonia Warszawa1445521:24-317
    14Puszcza1428414:17-314
    15Tychy1433820:30-1012
    16Stal Mielec1432918:30-1211
    17Leczna1417617:28-1110
    18Pruszkow14311016:34-1810

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2