Termalica Nieciecza vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
40
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
2013
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Kubica K. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 45', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Strzalek I. 🟨,
  • 58', Orlik K. , Zyra P. ,
  • 58', Janaszek F. , Litwa M. ,
  • 59', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 66', Karasek K. , Nowakowski J. ,
  • 66', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 69', Deja A. , Oduko O. ,
  • 73', Hilbrycht D. , Zaviyskyi T. ,
  • 75', De Amo J. 🟨,
  • 76', Kryeziu E. , Malamis P. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Banaszak P. , Bednarczyk J. (A),
  • 82', Fassbender M. , Wrobel J. ,
  • 82', Kubica K. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 90', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
56.9%
Draw
24.1%
Górnik Łęczna
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 25.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.89)
    4.89
    (4.85)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Termalica (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Termalica (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Termalica Nieciecza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:2
    28.04.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1
    28.10.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 3:0
    23.04.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1
    17.09.2022 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 2:2
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla28169362:283457
    2Slask Wroclaw28148655:401550
    3Chrobry Glogow28136939:271245
    4Wieczysta Krakow27127854:401443
    5Legnica28127947:46143
    6Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    7Ruch Chorzow28119841:39242
    8LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    9Polonia Warszawa28118943:43041
    10S. Rzeszow281161141:45-439
    11Polonia Bytom27108941:34738
    12Puszcza28911837:34338
    13Odra Opole28910928:33-537
    14Pogon Siedlce28791227:32-530
    15Stal Mielec28851540:53-1329
    16Leczna284111333:49-1623
    17Pruszkow28651730:54-2423
    18Tychy28461832:60-2818

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2