Termalica Nieciecza vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
40
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
2013
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Kubica K. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 45', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Strzalek I. 🟨,
  • 58', Orlik K. , Zyra P. ,
  • 58', Janaszek F. , Litwa M. ,
  • 59', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 66', Karasek K. , Nowakowski J. ,
  • 66', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 69', Deja A. , Oduko O. ,
  • 73', Hilbrycht D. , Zaviyskyi T. ,
  • 75', De Amo J. 🟨,
  • 76', Kryeziu E. , Malamis P. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Banaszak P. , Bednarczyk J. (A),
  • 82', Fassbender M. , Wrobel J. ,
  • 82', Kubica K. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 90', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
56.9%
Draw
24.1%
Górnik Łęczna
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 24% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 25.9% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.89)
    4.89
    (4.85)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Termalica (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Termalica (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Termalica Nieciecza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:2
    28.04.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1
    28.10.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 3:0
    23.04.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1
    17.09.2022 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna 2:2
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla311711367:323562
    2Slask Wroclaw31169664:442057
    3Wieczysta Krakow31158864:442053
    4Chrobry Glogow311561044:311351
    5LKS Lodz30138948:42647
    6Ruch Chorzow311211846:42447
    7Polonia Warszawa311381048:46247
    8Legnica311371148:50-246
    9Puszcza311112842:37545
    10Polonia Bytom311281150:42844
    11Grodzisk M301110948:48043
    12S. Rzeszow311161443:51-839
    13Odra Opole319111128:37-938
    14Pogon Siedlce31991331:36-536
    15Stal Mielec31851843:59-1629
    16Leczna315121437:55-1827
    17Pruszkow31671834:59-2525
    18Tychy31562037:67-3021

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2