Result
3:0
25/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 11
- Referee: Ramondino F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/405) | 65% (167/258) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (319/405) | 65% (167/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (91/119) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, van Dooren K. ⚽, Kyvag T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pellegrino C. G. ↓, Di Giammarino V. ↑,
- 46', Pastrenge L. ↓, Petrara M. ↑,
- 46', Breitner S. ↓, Ciccotti C. ↑,
- 58', De Sanders K. ↓, Mascarello M. ↑,
- 69', Grimshaw C. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
- 73', Martins C. ↓, Erzen K. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, van Dooren K. ⚽,
- 81', Regazzoli A. ↓, Lazaro P. ↑,
- 82', Mascarello M. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 0, Kyvag T. ⚽, Park Soo-Jeong (A),
- 86', Cernoia V. ↓, Strauss L. ↑,
- 86', Kyvag T. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
- 86', Koivisto E. ↓, Donolato V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan
66% | Draw
20% | Ternana
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Milan - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.4) |
4.61 ↑
(4.45) |
6.55 ↑
(6.36) |
8.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ternana has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Ternana?
Milan has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Milan?
Ternana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Ternana were as follows:
14.09.2025
Milan
-
Ternana
2:1
02.11.2022
Ternana
-
Milan
0:2
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 29:14 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lazio W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Como W | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Ternana W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 11 |
| 11 | Parma W | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
