Bakersfield Condors vs Texas Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
28/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4028
Shooting PCT
15% (6/40)10.71% (3/28)
Goalkeeper Saves
2534
Saves PCT
89.29% (25/28)87.18% (34/39)
Penalties
57
PIM
1620
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
14.29% (1/7)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)85.71% (6/7)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 03:19, 0 - 1, Chisholm S. (G), Martino A. (A), McDonald K. (A2)
  • 07:35, 1 - 1, Bloom J. (G), Petrov M. (A), Poulin S. (A2)
  • 13:26, 2 - 1, Poulin S. (G), Dineen C. (A), Pitlick R. (A2)
  • 18:53, 3 - 1, Howard I. (G), Carfagna D. (A), Marjala V. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)
  • 03:41, 4 - 1, Dineen C. (G), Pitlick R. (A),
  • 06:54, 5 - 1, Hamblin J. (G), Griffith S. (A), Pitlick R. (A2)
  • 07:09, 5 - 2, Scott H. (G), Looft K. (A), Hryckowian D. (A2)
  • 08:54, 5 - 3, Hanas C. (G), Kolyachonok V. (A),
  • 18:13, 6 - 3, Howard I. (G), Hutson Q. (A),

Chances of winning


Bakersfield Condors
38.9%
Draw
22%
Texas Stars
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 23.1% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 24.8% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Texas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.3)
    4.2
    (3.95)
    2.34
    (2.45)
    7.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Texas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Texas has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:58. (average 3.2:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars were as follows:
    27.03.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Texas Stars 4:3
    14.03.2026 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 6:2
    13.03.2026 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 1:4
    03.02.2024 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 1:2
    02.02.2024 Texas Stars - Bakersfield Condors 3:5
    Latest results of Bakersfield Condors
    Latest results of Texas Stars
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )