Result
3:1
02/05/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (207/264) | 84% (350/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.16 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (207/264) | 84% (350/417) |
| Long passes |
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| 39% (21/54) | 58% (25/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (50/82) | 67% (80/120) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (1/8) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.88 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -1.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kanitsribampen W. ⚽, Kaka Mendes (A),
- 18', Walsh S. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, Leonardo Kalil ⚽, Lins M. (A),
- 38', Shimura N. 🟨,
- 45+3', 3 - 0, Lucas Tocantins ⚽, Lins M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zulj R. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
- 50', Lee-Oh S. 🟨,
- 60', Hemviboon P. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
- 66', Maikami R. ↓, Causic G. ↑,
- 66', Fandi I. ↓, Bissoli ↑,
- 73', Fandi I. ↓, Buran C. ↑,
- 73', Kanitsribampen W. ↓, Kesarat T. ↑,
- 73', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Poeiphimai T. ↑,
- 73', Chotmuangpak T. ↓, Jaided S. ↑,
- 78', Leonardo Kalil ↓, Phala B. ↑,
- 90+3', Lins M. ↓, Wongchai C. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Zulj P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Thai Port
43.3% | Draw
26.9% | Buriram United
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thai Port's performance.Buriram United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buriram United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thai Port that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buriram United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Thai Port - Buriram United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.95) |
3.49 ↑
(3.35) |
3.14 ↑
(1.96) |
6.7%
(14.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Thai Port - Buriram United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB, 1st Half - Port (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Port (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port won 2.
- Port has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Buriram has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Thai Port won against Buriram United?
Thai Port has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buriram United won against Thai Port?
Buriram United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thai Port - Buriram United were as follows:
14.12.2025
Buriram United
-
Thai Port
1:0
02.02.2025
Buriram United
-
Thai Port
0:1
12.09.2024
Thai Port
-
Buriram United
0:0
12.05.2024
Buriram United
-
Thai Port
1:1
17.12.2023
Thai Port
-
Buriram United
4:1
Latest results of Thai Port
Latest results of Buriram United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
