The New Saints vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Frischer J. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 16
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 17, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 17
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.06
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1514
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
66
Blocked Shots
25
Free Kicks
96
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
04
Throw-ins
1114
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
69
Yellow Cards
10
Total Passes
418623
Completed Passes
360570
Crosses Completed
66
Interceptions
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Holden R. , Williams J. (A),
  • 43', Harrison C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', Holden R. , Clark B. ,
  • 71', Brobbel R. , Wilson A. ,
  • 72', Basmanov S. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, McManus D. (Pen),
  • 88', Williams J. , Cieslewicz A. ,
  • 90+5', McManus D. , Canavan J. ,

Chances of winning


The New Saints
45.1%
Draw
27.6%
Astana
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 26.1% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 25.7% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.
  • Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-22.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The New Saints that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+24.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • The New Saints - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (4)
    3.42
    (3.55)
    3.46
    (1.83)
    5.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for The New Saints - Astana?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Astana will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 22%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - The Croud Meadow.
    • Recent matches TNS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Astana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in TNS: McGahey H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in TNS: Astles R. (Injury) Olosunde M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Latest results of Astana
    20.10.2024 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:3
    03.10.2024 Astana - Bačka Topola 1:0
    29.09.2024 Zhenis - Astana 1:1
    25.09.2024 Astana - Yelimay Semey 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2