Thiago Augustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/04/2026 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
67%63%
1st serve points won
74% (23/31)34% (11/32)
2nd serve points won
67% (10/15)53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
4/43/8
1st return points won
66% (21/32)26% (8/31)
2nd return points won
47% (9/19)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
5/80/4
Winners
253
Unforced errors
1824
Net points won
100% (4/4)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
72% (33/46)41% (21/51)
Return Points Won
59% (30/51)28% (13/46)
Total Points Won
65% (63/97)35% (34/97)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (7/7)29% (2/7)
Return games won
71% (5/7)0% (0/7)
Total games won
86% (12/14)14% (2/14)

Chances of winning


Thiago Augustin Tirante
69.3%
Mackenzie McDonald
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Augustin Tirante's performance.
  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Augustin Tirante that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mackenzie McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.56)

    3.08
    (2.34)
    5.1%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mackenzie McDonald?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tirante is ranked ATP: 83. McDonald is ranked ATP: 125.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tirante might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Tirante T. A.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2