Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
60
Double Faults
87
1st serve percentage
58%56%
1st serve points won
70% (40/57)76% (42/55)
2nd serve points won
44% (18/41)48% (21/44)
Break Points Saved
91% (10/11)100% (4/4)
1st return points won
24% (13/55)30% (17/57)
2nd return points won
52% (23/44)56% (23/41)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)9% (1/11)
Winners
2630
Unforced errors
4339
Net points won
65% (11/17)74% (20/27)
Service Points Won
59% (58/98)64% (63/99)
Return Points Won
36% (36/99)41% (40/98)
Total Points Won
48% (94/197)52% (103/197)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
10
Service games won
90% (9/10)100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)10% (1/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Thiago Cigarran
38.9%
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Cigarran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Cigarran than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Cigarran that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Thiago Cigarran - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.69)

    1.52
    (1.41)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Cigarran is ranked ATP: 842. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 609.
    • Recent performances by Cigarran have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aguilar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Thiago Cigarran
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rodriguez Taverna S. (1)Boitan G. A. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Torres J. B.La Serna J. M.1 : 2
    3Kuzuhara B. (LL)Agamenone F.0 : 2
    4Alves M. (Alt)Pucinelli de Almeida M. (8)0 : 2
    5Dellien Velasco M. A. (4)Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 1
    6Gurmendi A. (RET.) (WC)Zeitune M. (WC)1 : 1
    7Sanchez Izquierdo N.Schiessl J. E. (Alt)2 : 1
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Kicker N. (6)2 : 0
    9Boscardin Dias P. (7)Aboian V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Estevez J. (Q)Justo G. I.2 : 0
    11Pagani D. (WC)Ratti L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Ambrogi L. E.Collarini A. (3)0 : 2
    13Varillas J. P. (5)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Olivo R. (RET.)Sakamoto P.0 : 1
    15Rodriguez L. J.Palosi S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Leite W. (Q)Midon L. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rodriguez Taverna S. (1)La Serna J. M.0 : 2
    2Agamenone F.Pucinelli de Almeida M. (8)2 : 0
    3Dellien Velasco M. A. (4)Zeitune M.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Izquierdo N.Dutra Da Silva D. (RET.)1 : 0
    5Boscardin Dias P. (7)Estevez J.2 : 1
    6Ratti L.Collarini A. (3)0 : 2
    7Varillas J. P. (5)Sakamoto P. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Palosi S.Midon L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1La Serna J. M.Agamenone F.0 : 2
    2Dellien Velasco M. A. (4)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    3Boscardin Dias P. (7)Collarini A. (3)0 : 2
    4Varillas J. P. (5)Midon L. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Agamenone F.Dellien Velasco M. A. (4)2 : 0
    2Collarini A. (3)Varillas J. P. (5)2 : 1

    Final
    1Agamenone F.Collarini A. (3)2 : 1