Result
5:1
12/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.69 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (232/325) | 80% (320/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.69 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (232/325) | 80% (320/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (86/139) | 77% (125/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Matoshi V. ⚽, Burki M. (A),
- 21', 2 - 0, Matoshi V. ⚽, Labeau B. (A),
- 43', Butler-Oyedeji N. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Janneh O. ⚽, Diakite G. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Kait M. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 49', Fehr F. 🟨,
- 53', Roth J. 🟨,
- 61', Matoshi V. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
- 62', Imeri K. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Labeau B. (A),
- 72', Diakite G. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
- 72', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
- 72', Custodio O. ↓, Mollet F. ↑,
- 77', Meichtry F. 🟨,
- 80', Janneh O. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
- 80', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
- 87', Rastoder E. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 90+3', Bergvall T. 🟨,
- 90+4', 5 - 1, Bertone L. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Thun
50.6% | Draw
25% | Lausanne-Sport
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Thun - Lausanne-Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.83) |
3.74 ↑
(3.7) |
3.85 ↑
(3.5) |
6.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Thun - Lausanne-Sport?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Lausanne-Sport (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Thun (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lausanne-Sport (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Thun will win
(41 of 50 users predict this - 82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.35% – 92.65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Thun (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
- Thun is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lausanne-Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Thun has had a series of away games.
- Thun might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Thun: Heule M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Abdallah H.
(Knee Injury)
Bair T.
(Knee Injury)
N'Diaye S.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Poaty M.
(Injury)
Sigua G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Lausanne-Sport?
Thun has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne-Sport won against Thun?
Lausanne-Sport has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Lausanne-Sport were as follows:
30.11.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Thun
2:1
03.08.2025
Thun
-
Lausanne-Sport
2:1
20.03.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Thun
2:2
19.05.2023
Thun
-
Lausanne-Sport
3:3
19.03.2023
Lausanne-Sport
-
Thun
1:3
Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
