Lausanne-Sport vs Thun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 15
  • Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.481.68
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
69% (219/318)67% (221/328)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.481.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.671.38
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
3123
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
69% (219/318)67% (221/328)
Long passes
41% (30/73)42% (28/67)
Passes in final third
59% (61/103)50% (62/123)
Crosses
38% (5/13)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.58
Throw-ins
2229
Fouls
1615
Tackles
57% (13/23)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6748
Clearances
3820
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.382.67
Goals prevented
0.380.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lekoueiry B. , Diakite G. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Bair T. (Pen),
  • 24', Rastoder E. 🟨,
  • 43', Bertone L. 🟨,
  • 45', Mollet F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Fehr F. , Montolio G. ,
  • 46', Matoshi V. , Reichmuth N. ,
  • 50', Rastoder E. 🟨,
  • 50', Letica K. 🟨,
  • 58', Heule M. 🟨,
  • 59', Meichtry F. , Labeau B. ,
  • 61', Mollet F. , Beloko N. ,
  • 62', Lekoueiry B. , Custodio O. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
  • 73', Roth J. , Imeri K. ,
  • 74', Diakite G. , Kana-Biyik E. ,
  • 74', Sigua G. , Butler-Oyedeji N. ,
  • 76', Ibayi C. , Gutbub M. ,
  • 78', Custodio O. 🟨,
  • 81', Soppy B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kana-Biyik E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lausanne-Sport
43.2%
Draw
24.9%
Thun
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 25.4% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.3% 30.7%

Lausanne-Sport - Thun Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.19
(2.21)
3.78
(3.73)
2.95
(2.97)
5.9%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Lausanne-Sport - Thun?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Thun will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 2 - 40%). Thun (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 1.
    • Recent performances by Lausanne-Sport have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Thun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lausanne-Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Mouanga K. (Yellow Cards) Sow K. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Thun: Kait M. (Foot Injury) Ziswiler N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Ajdini A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:38. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lausanne-Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lausanne-Sport - Thun were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Thun - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    20.03.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Thun 2:2
    19.05.2023 Thun - Lausanne-Sport 3:3
    19.03.2023 Lausanne-Sport - Thun 1:3
    21.10.2022 Lausanne-Sport - Thun 2:1
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    09.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Sion 2:2
    06.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Omonia 1:1
    01.11.2025 Zürich - Lausanne-Sport 1:2
    Latest results of Thun
    22.11.2025 Thun - Lugano 0:1
    08.11.2025 Servette - Thun 0:1
    01.11.2025 Thun - Sion 2:1
    28.10.2025 Thun - Winterthur 3:0
    25.10.2025 Sion - Thun 0:1
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun ✔ 18121535:211437
    2St. Gallen18111636:211534
    3Basel1894527:19831
    4Lugano1893625:23230
    5Young Boys1885538:35329
    6Sion1876527:23427
    7Zurich1873826:31-524
    8Lausanne1756627:23421
    9Servette1754829:35-619
    10Luzern1846831:35-418
    11Grasshoppers1845925:33-817
    12Winterthur ✔ 18241223:50-2710

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )