Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (219/318) | 67% (221/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (219/318) | 67% (221/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/73) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 50% (62/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Lekoueiry B. ⚽, Diakite G. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Bair T. (Pen),
- 24', Rastoder E. 🟨,
- 43', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 45', Mollet F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fehr F. ↓, Montolio G. ↑,
- 46', Matoshi V. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 50', Rastoder E. 🟨,
- 50', Letica K. 🟨,
- 58', Heule M. 🟨,
- 59', Meichtry F. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 61', Mollet F. ↓, Beloko N. ↑,
- 62', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
- 73', Roth J. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 74', Diakite G. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
- 74', Sigua G. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
- 76', Ibayi C. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 78', Custodio O. 🟨,
- 81', Soppy B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kana-Biyik E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lausanne-Sport 43.2% | Draw 24.9% | Thun 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lausanne-Sport - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↓ (2.21) |
3.78 ↑ (3.73) |
2.95 ↓ (2.97) |
5.9% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Lausanne-Sport - Thun?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Thun will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 2 - 40%). Thun (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 1.
- Recent performances by Lausanne-Sport have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Thun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lausanne-Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Mouanga K.
(Yellow Cards)
Sow K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Thun: Kait M.
(Foot Injury)
Ziswiler N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Ajdini A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:38. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lausanne-Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne-Sport won against Thun?
Lausanne-Sport has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Lausanne-Sport?
Thun has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lausanne-Sport - Thun were as follows:
03.08.2025
Thun
-
Lausanne-Sport
2:1
20.03.2025
Lausanne-Sport
-
Thun
2:2
19.05.2023
Thun
-
Lausanne-Sport
3:3
19.03.2023
Lausanne-Sport
-
Thun
1:3
21.10.2022
Lausanne-Sport
-
Thun
2:1
Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 35:21 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | Basel | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 4 | Lugano | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38:35 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Sion | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Zurich | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 26:31 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Servette | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Luzern | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 31:35 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23:50 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )