Result
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Thun
51.4% | Draw
23.8% | Luzern
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thun's form might have worsened.Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Thun - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.63) |
3.96 ↓
(4.08) |
3.82 ↓
(4.61) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Thun - Luzern?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Thun (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Luzern (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Thun (votes: 1 - 50%). Luzern (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 3.
- Thun is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Luzern is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Thun is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Luzern?
Thun has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Thun?
Luzern has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Luzern were as follows:
06.12.2025
Thun
-
Luzern
4:1
09.08.2025
Luzern
-
Thun
1:2
16.09.2023
Thun
-
Luzern
1:3
31.01.2023
Thun
-
Luzern
3:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 26 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Lugano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | Sion | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | Basel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 52:52 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Luzern | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 52:49 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 21 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 29:75 | -46 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
