Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 3
- Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (298/390) | 70% (220/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (298/390) | 70% (220/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 38% (28/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/111) | 62% (79/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 48% (12/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Silva Ferreira L. M. ⚽,
- 16', Meichtry F. 🟨,
- 23', Grbic A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Ibayi C. ⚽, Bertone L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bajrami A. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 46', Abe T. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 46', Meichtry F. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 2, Ibayi C. ⚽, Heule M. (A),
- 63', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Vasovic A. ↑,
- 63', Grbic A. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 64', Spadanuda K. 🟨,
- 67', Ibayi C. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
- 67', Kait M. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 72', Reichmuth N. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
- 75', Britschgi S. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,
- 76', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 87', Rastoder E. ↓, Bamert J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luzern
41.8% | Draw
27.4% | Thun
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Luzern - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.31) |
3.45 ↓
(3.58) |
3.04 ↑
(2.87) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Luzern - Thun?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.
- In recent matches, Luzern has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Thun is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Villiger L.
(Knee Injury)
Von Moos J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luzern: Abe T.
(Injury)
Beka I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Thun?
Luzern has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Luzern?
Thun has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Thun were as follows:
16.09.2023
Thun
-
Luzern
1:3
31.01.2023
Thun
-
Luzern
3:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Basel | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Luzern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zurich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lugano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Servette | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
