Result
1:3
08/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (238/341) | 70% (258/367) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (238/341) | 70% (258/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (18/71) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/126) | 59% (82/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
- 41', Cognat T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Matoshi V. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Burki M. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
- 50', Bamert J. 🟨,
- 57', Guillemenot J. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 57', Mraz S. ↓, Atangana J. ↑,
- 67', Jallow A. 🟥,
- 70', Imeri K. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
- 71', Stevanovic M. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
- 71', Burch M. ↓, Severin Y. ↑,
- 81', Rastoder E. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 82', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
- 83', Mendes H. ↓, Lopes T. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 3, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
- 88', Bertone L. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
- 89', Burki M. 🟨,
- 90', Mazikou B. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Atangana J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', Rouiller S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Servette
45.3% | Draw
25.3% | Thun
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Servette's performance.Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Servette - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.36) |
3.69 ↓
(3.91) |
3.19 ↑
(2.65) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Servette - Thun?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Servette will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Thun will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 38.8% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Thun (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Thun (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Thun (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Thun (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Servette won 1.
- In recent matches, Servette has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Thun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Servette: Baron A.
(Inactive)
Bronn D.
(Injury)
Frick J.
(Hip Injury)
Srdanovic L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Thun: Ibayi C.
(Injury)
Reichmuth N.
(Hand Injury)
Ziswiler N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Servette won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Servette won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Servette won against Thun?
Servette has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Servette?
Thun has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Servette - Thun were as follows:
08.11.2025
Servette
-
Thun
0:1
18.10.2025
Thun
-
Servette
3:1
Latest results of Servette
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
