Result
3:4
05/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (266/353) | 79% (290/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (266/353) | 79% (290/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (74/125) | 61% (54/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario (Pen),
- 9', Iago Maidana 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Bruno Nazario (Own goal),
- 35', Liu Bin ↓, Liu Yixin ↑,
- 38', 1 - 2, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
- 40', Huang Ruifeng 🟨,
- 45+7', Fang Jingqi ↓, Yan Bingliang ↑,
- 45+8', 2 - 2, Bruno Nazario ⚽,
- 45+13', Salvador C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', Li Xingxian ↓, Yin Hongbo ↑,
- 67', Ademi A. ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
- 73', Wang Xianjun 🟨,
- 74', Huang Zichang ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
- 74', Zhong Yihao ↓, Du Zhixuan ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Lucas Maia ⚽,
- 78', Wang Qiuming ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
- 79', Huang Jiahui ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 79', Ba Dun ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
- 81', Bruno Nazario 🟨,
- 82', Du Zhixuan 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 3, Xadas (Pen),
- 90', 3 - 4, Guo Hao ⚽,
Chances of winning
Henan Songshan Longmen
46.3% | Draw
26.9% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.05) |
3.51 ↑
(3.5) |
3.47 ↑
(3.43) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
- In recent matches, Henan Jianye has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Henan Jianye is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Henan Jianye: Wang Shangyuan
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Henan Songshan Longmen won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Henan Songshan Longmen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Henan Songshan Longmen?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
14.09.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
04.05.2024
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
13.08.2023
Henan Songshan Longmen
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:0
14.05.2023
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
1:0
10.12.2022
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Henan Songshan Longmen
1:1
Latest results of Henan Songshan Longmen
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 17 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
