Result
2:2
01/05/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (384/466) | 77% (268/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.48 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (384/466) | 77% (268/349) |
| Long passes |
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| 35% (16/46) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (63/105) | 58% (57/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 81% (21/26) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Yamkam M. 🟨,
- 39', Jiang L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', Chen Zhexuan 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Chen Zhechao ⚽,
- 58', Wang Qiuming ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
- 58', Chen Zhexuan ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
- 63', He Guan ↓, Liu Yiming ↑,
- 69', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
- 70', Jiang L. ↓, Ming Tian ↑,
- 71', Quiles A. 🟨,
- 71', Liu Yiming 🟨,
- 71', Grau J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
- 72', Wu Xinghan ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Cadiz J. ⚽,
- 78', Ba Dun ↓, Shi Yan ↑,
- 80', Yamkam M. 🟥,
- 81', 1 - 2, Xadas (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Cadiz J. ↓, Zheng Kaimu ↑,
- 90+5', Guo Jiayu 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Ji Shengpan ⚽, Huang Jiahui (A),
Chances of winning
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 47.1% | Draw 27.8% | Wuhan Three Towns 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2) |
3.36 ↓ (3.4) |
3.71 ↑ (3.66) |
7.3% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3.
- Recent performances by Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in Wuhan Three Towns: Bevis K.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Wuhan Three Towns?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Wuhan Three Towns has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns were as follows:
14.09.2025
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Wuhan Three Towns
4:0
27.04.2025
Wuhan Three Towns
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
16.08.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Wuhan Three Towns
1:0
26.04.2024
Wuhan Three Towns
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
23.09.2023
Wuhan Three Towns
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:1
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Qingdao West Coast | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Zhejiang Professional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | -1 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One