Toluca vs Tigres UANL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Toluca - Tigres UANL
Result
3:4
26/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 3
  • Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.43
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
84% (366/438)79% (305/386)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.762.94
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
714
Passes
84% (366/438)79% (305/386)
Long passes
51% (30/59)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)49% (38/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.76
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
147
Tackles
69% (11/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3650
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
818
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.941.76
Goals prevented
-0.06-1.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Paulinho , Helinho (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Pereira F. (Own goal),
  • 30', Brunetta J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Herrera O. ,
  • 40', del Villar E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 3, Ibanez N. , Aquino J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Isais M. , Gallardo J. ,
  • 46', del Villar E. , Bruno Mendez ,
  • 46', Herrera H. , Ruiz M. ,
  • 58', 1 - 4, Ibanez N. , Lainez D. (A),
  • 65', Castro N. , Vega A. ,
  • 65', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. , Virgen O. ,
  • 67', Aquino J. , Lorona V. ,
  • 73', Gallardo J. 🟨,
  • 76', Lainez D. , Joaquim ,
  • 76', Garza J. , Rodriguez O. ,
  • 80', Lorona V. 🟨,
  • 80', Helinho 🟨,
  • 82', Herrera O. , Vigon J. ,
  • 82', Brunetta J. , Cordova S. ,
  • 88', 2 - 4, Gallardo J. , Vega A. (A),
  • 90+3', Virgen O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 4, Ruiz M. , Vega A. (A),
  • 90+6', Romero F. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Bruno Mendez 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
55.8%
Draw
25.7%
Tigres UANL
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.1% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Toluca - Tigres UANL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.79)
    3.79
    (3.56)
    5.23
    (4.25)
    3.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toluca - Tigres UANL?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
    • Tigres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toluca is a strong favorite.
    • There are questionable in Toluca: Helinho (Knock) Ruiz M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tigres: Flores L. (Muscle Injury) Guerrero R. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Toluca will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Tigres UANL were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:0
    14.05.2025 Tigres UANL - Toluca 1:1
    01.02.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 1:0
    06.11.2024 Tigres UANL - Toluca 2:1
    02.03.2024 Toluca - Tigres UANL 2:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    20.07.2025 Club América - Toluca 1:3
    16.07.2025 Santos Laguna - Toluca 2:4
    12.07.2025 Toluca - Necaxa 3:1
    25.05.2025 Toluca - Club América 2:0
    22.05.2025 Club América - Toluca 0:0
    Latest results of Tigres UANL
    19.07.2025 Tigres UANL - Juárez 1:0
    17.05.2025 Toluca - Tigres UANL 3:0
    14.05.2025 Tigres UANL - Toluca 1:1
    11.05.2025 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 2:2
    08.05.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 0:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca33007:259
    2Toluca320110:736
    3Tigres UANL22005:326
    4Monterrey32014:406
    5Cruz Azul31207:435
    6Club America31205:325
    7Necaxa31115:504
    8Mazatlan FC31112:204
    9Atlas31117:8-14
    10Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    11Santos Laguna31025:503
    12Guadalajara Chivas21014:403
    13Atl. San Luis31024:5-13
    14Puebla31024:5-13
    15UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    16Club Leon31022:5-33
    17Juarez30212:3-12
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

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