Result
11/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
45.7% | Draw
28.1% | Toluca
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tigres UANL - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07
(2.07) |
3.39 ↑
(3.34) |
3.64 ↑
(3.6) |
5.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 2.
- In recent matches, Tigres has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toluca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tigres could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Toluca?
Tigres UANL has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Tigres UANL?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Toluca were as follows:
26.07.2025
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
3:4
17.05.2025
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
3:0
14.05.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
1:1
01.02.2025
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
1:0
06.11.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
2:1
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Juarez (8) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (4) | Monterrey (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL (2) | Club Tijuana (7) | 5 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Guadalajara Chivas (6) | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (5) | 3 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (2) | |
