Result
3:4
09/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (395/482) | 73% (180/248) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/110) | 63% (59/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 16% (4/25) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 80% (8/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Zuniga J. ⚽, Mejia A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 47', Bilbao U. 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 0, Jhojan Julio ⚽, Zuniga J. (A),
- 53', 3 - 0, Vega A. ⚽,
- 58', Castaneda K. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
- 58', Tona I. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,
- 58', Vega A. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Matheus Doria ⚽, Del Prete G. (A),
- 61', Del Prete G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 71', Mejia A. ↓, Franco R. ↑,
- 71', Zuniga J. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 2, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
- 79', Bilbao U. 🟥,
- 84', Rios De Alba V. H. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 3, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
- 90+5', Rocha A. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 90+6', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Boya F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 4, Djurdjevic U. ⚽, Coccaro M. (A),
Chances of winning
Tijuana
47% | Draw
25.5% | Atlas
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Tijuana - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.84) |
3.67 ↓
(3.77) |
3.44 ↓
(3.87) |
5.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 2.
- Tijuana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Atlas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Tijuana will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Lozano B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:18 (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Atlas?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Tijuana?
Atlas has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Atlas were as follows:
24.11.2024
Tijuana
-
Atlas
3:0
26.10.2024
Atlas
-
Tijuana
0:0
20.01.2024
Atlas
-
Tijuana
0:0
29.10.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlas
2:0
03.03.2023
Tijuana
-
Atlas
1:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
