Tijuana vs Atlas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Tijuana - Atlas
Result
3:4
09/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.88
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
69
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1614
Offsides
11
Fouls
1416
Throw-ins
2229
Touches in the Opposition Box
1719
Passes
82% (395/482)73% (180/248)
Passes in the final third
67% (74/110)63% (59/94)
Crosses
19% (4/21)16% (4/25)
Tackles
70% (14/20)80% (8/10)
Clearances Total
3431
Interceptions
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Zuniga J. , Mejia A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 47', Bilbao U. 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Jhojan Julio , Zuniga J. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Vega A. ,
  • 58', Castaneda K. , Mora G. ,
  • 58', Tona I. , Valenzuela A. ,
  • 58', Vega A. , Arciga R. ,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Matheus Doria , Del Prete G. (A),
  • 61', Del Prete G. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 71', Mejia A. , Franco R. ,
  • 71', Zuniga J. , Nicholson S. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Djurdjevic U. (Pen),
  • 79', Bilbao U. 🟥,
  • 84', Rios De Alba V. H. , Coccaro M. ,
  • 87', 3 - 3, Djurdjevic U. , Flores L. (A),
  • 90+5', Rocha A. , Ramirez P. ,
  • 90+6', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Boya F. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Ramirez P. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 4, Djurdjevic U. , Coccaro M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
47%
Draw
25.5%
Atlas
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 24.9% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.1% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Tijuana - Atlas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.84)
    3.67
    (3.77)
    3.44
    (3.87)
    5.8%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tijuana - Atlas?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Atlas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 2.
    • Tijuana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Atlas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Tijuana will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Ortega E. (Suspended) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlas: Lozano B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:18 (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Atlas were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Tijuana - Atlas 3:0
    26.10.2024 Atlas - Tijuana 0:0
    20.01.2024 Atlas - Tijuana 0:0
    29.10.2023 Tijuana - Atlas 2:0
    03.03.2023 Tijuana - Atlas 1:1
    Latest results of Tijuana
    01.03.2025 Club León - Tijuana 2:1
    25.02.2025 Tijuana - UNAM 4:2
    21.02.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:0
    14.02.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:2
    Latest results of Atlas
    02.03.2025 Atlas - Atlético San Luis 3:1
    23.02.2025 Santos Laguna - Atlas 2:0
    18.02.2025 Atlas - Necaxa 0:4
    15.02.2025 Atlas - Puebla 3:2
    08.02.2025 Tigres UANL - Atlas 2:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca13101239:162331
    2Cruz Azul1384124:16828
    3Club America1383227:131427
    4Monterrey1383226:20627
    5Tigres UANL1375127:131426
    6Pachuca1363418:15321
    7Club Tijuana1355326:17920
    8Guadalajara Chivas1362520:18220
    9Juarez1354418:17119
    10UNAM Pumas1335516:20-414
    11Atl. San Luis1341819:20-113
    12Santos Laguna1341815:21-613
    13Atlas1334621:29-813
    14Club Leon1333712:24-1212
    15Mazatlan FC1325615:23-811
    16Queretaro1332814:25-1111
    17Necaxa1323814:26-129
    18Puebla1322914:32-188

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