Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (337/411) | 86% (427/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (337/411) | 86% (427/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (47/74) | 59% (19/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (51/77) | 75% (120/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Boya F. ⚽,
- 27', Chavez R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 42', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Berterame G. ⚽, Torres O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ambriz F. ↓, Martial A. ↑,
- 46', Boya F. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
- 48', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Berterame G. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
- 60', 2 - 2, Preciado A. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 66', Guzman V. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
- 67', Torres O. 🟨,
- 68', Porozo J. 🟨,
- 72', Arciga R. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 78', Tona I. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
- 79', Preciado A. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 85', Castaneda K. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
- 87', Ocampos L. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
35.2% | Draw
25.6% | Monterrey
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Tijuana - Monterrey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.86) |
3.65 ↓
(3.76) |
2.4 ↑
(2.2) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Monterrey?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Monterrey will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- Recent performances by Tijuana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Monterrey is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tijuana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tijuana: Mora G.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Monterrey: Bustos C.
(Injury)
Canales S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Fimbres I.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Monterrey?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Tijuana?
Monterrey has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Monterrey were as follows:
29.03.2025
Monterrey
-
Tijuana
1:2
23.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Monterrey
2:2
28.02.2024
Tijuana
-
Monterrey
1:1
25.10.2023
Monterrey
-
Tijuana
3:1
01.04.2023
Monterrey
-
Tijuana
4:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
