Result
1:2
04/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (288/355) | 85% (261/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (288/355) | 85% (261/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (70/100) | 63% (36/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', De Buen D. 🟨,
- 32', Inzunza R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Perez P. ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 1, Zuniga J. (Pen),
- 58', 1 - 2, Paradela J. ⚽, Rosero K. (A),
- 63', Palma A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
- 65', Corona J. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 81', Gomez A. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 81', Alvarez E. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 81', Mora G. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 81', Mayorga A. ↓, Montes A. ↑,
- 81', Castaneda K. ↓, Arciga R. ↑,
- 82', Perez P. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 87', Badaloni T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Paradela J. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
39.6% | Draw
23.5% | Necaxa
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tijuana - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.67) |
3.98 ↑
(3.77) |
2.54 ↑
(2.39) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Necaxa will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tijuana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Recently Necaxa have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Necaxa: Cambindo D.
(Head Injury)
Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Necaxa?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tijuana?
Necaxa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
18.10.2024
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:2
05.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
2:3
07.07.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
03.02.2023
Necaxa
-
Tijuana
1:1
18.09.2022
Tijuana
-
Necaxa
1:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
