Result
4:3
17/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (366/430) | 82% (295/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (366/430) | 82% (295/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (69/107) | 53% (30/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 3.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.59 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Organista A. 🟨,
- 26', Monarrez F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (4 - 3)
- 46', Preciado A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. (Pen),
- 58', Tona I. 🟨,
- 60', 0 - 2, Castaneda K. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 65', Guerra E. ↓, Araos A. ↑,
- 66', Monarrez F. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Marin R. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
- 68', Tona I. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
- 68', Boya F. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
- 68', Castaneda K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, de la Rosa A. ⚽, Organista A. (A),
- 71', 2 - 3, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 78', Mora G. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
- 79', Organista A. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 3, Baltazar C. ⚽,
- 87', Bullaude E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Navarro E. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
- 90+6', 4 - 3, Baltazar C. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
Chances of winning
Puebla
37.8% | Draw
27.9% | Tijuana
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Puebla - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.66) |
3.42 ↓
(3.63) |
2.69 ↑
(2.42) |
5.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Puebla (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 3.
- Puebla is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tijuana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Tijuana?
Puebla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Puebla?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Tijuana were as follows:
21.02.2025
Puebla
-
Tijuana
2:0
10.11.2024
Tijuana
-
Puebla
2:1
19.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Puebla
3:1
01.09.2023
Puebla
-
Tijuana
3:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
