Result
2:0
21/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.37 | 1.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 20 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 35 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
14 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
68% (166/243) | 84% (398/472) |
Passes in the final third |
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56% (48/86) | 81% (123/151) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (4/11) | 28% (7/25) |
Tackles |
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64% (16/25) | 74% (14/19) |
Clearances Total |
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26 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Corona J. 🟨,
- 23', Bilbao U. 🟨,
- 27', Mejia A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Gomez E. (Pen),
- 45+1', Rivas J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Corona J. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 46', Mejia A. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
- 46', Bilbao U. ↓, Franco R. ↑,
- 67', Contreras F. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
- 67', Nicholson S. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
- 72', Castillo R. ↓, Waller Martiarena F. F. ↑,
- 78', Porozo J. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Angulo B. (A),
- 88', Angulo B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Marin R. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 90+3', Rivas J. ↓, Gustavo Ferrareis ↑,
Chances of winning
Puebla 40.3% | Draw 27.3% | Tijuana 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puebla's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puebla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Puebla - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (3.04) |
3.46 ↓ (3.68) |
2.91 ↑ (2.15) |
5.8% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puebla - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tijuana will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Louis won 1.
- Recent matches St. Louis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Winnipeg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- St. Louis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Winnipeg will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches St. Louis won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 51:65 (average 2.6:3.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams St. Louis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:28 (average 2.4:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Tijuana?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Puebla?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Tijuana were as follows:
10.11.2024
Tijuana
-
Puebla
2:1
19.04.2024
Tijuana
-
Puebla
3:1
01.09.2023
Puebla
-
Tijuana
3:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )