Tirana vs Pogradeci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Albanian Super League Tirana - Pogradeci
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Abissnet Superiore - Relegation - Final

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Pengu A. , Hysenllari A. ,
  • 31', Soler I. 🟨,
  • 31', Hysenllari A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Shkulaku H. 🟨,
  • 67', Lila V. , Pius F. ,
  • 67', Vokrri S. , Samake A. ,
  • 68', Kola E. , Bajrovic A. ,
  • 68', Haxhiu R. , Gjumsi A. ,
  • 71', Pergjoni F. 🟨,
  • 81', Rafa Freitas , Smaci E. ,
  • 82', Alidemaj F. , Kasmollari O. ,
  • 89', Stanic M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Hysenllari A. (Own goal),
  • 90+9', Jarmouni W. , Ismajli Q. ,
  • 90+11', Ndreca A. 🟥,
  • 90+12', Raza R. 🟥,
  • 90+13', Danladi S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tirana
59.7%
Draw
24%
Pogradeci
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 28.8% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirana's performance.
  • Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Tirana - Pogradeci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.77)
    3.87
    (3.3)
    5.73
    (3.95)
    7.5%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Tirana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pogradeci is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pogradeci has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tirana is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Tirana
    19.04.2025 Tirana - Teuta Durrës 0:1
    07.04.2025 Tirana - Partizani Tirana 3:0
    31.03.2025 AF Elbasani - Tirana 2:1
    26.03.2025 Tirana - Bylis Ballsh 2:2
    Latest results of Pogradeci
    28.04.2025 Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci 0:1
    24.04.2025 Burreli - Pogradeci 0:1
    05.04.2025 Valbona - Pogradeci 1:2
    30.03.2025 Pogradeci - Vora 1:0
    Albanian Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vllaznia11002:023
    2Partizani11001:013
    3AF Elbasani11001:013
    4Bylis10100:001
    5KF Tirana10100:001
    6Dinamo Tirana00000:000
    7Teuta00000:000
    8Flamurtari10010:1-10
    9Vora10010:1-10
    10Egnatia10010:2-20

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