Tlaxcala vs Cancún – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
112
Corner kicks
94
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
196
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
84
Corner kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Chavez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Castillo E. , Salomon O. ,
  • 59', Zaragoza A. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 66', Reyes R. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodriguez J. , Villatoro M. ,
  • 68', Uscanga P. , Ochoa I. ,
  • 68', Campos K. , Padilla E. ,
  • 73', Melendre F. , Lopez L. ,
  • 76', Christian 🟨,
  • 86', Santos E. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 87', Hernandez J. , Soria E. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Salomon O. , Christian (A),
  • 90+2', Blanco J. , Iniestra A. ,

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
43.2%
Draw
28.2%
Cancún
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 28.7% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tlaxcala's performance.
  • Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cancún might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Tlaxcala - Cancún Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.5)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    3.2
    (2.5)
    9.1%
    (12.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Cancún?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cancún will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tlaxcala (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2.
    • Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Cancún were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Cancún - Tlaxcala 3:0
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    28.09.2024 Cancún - Tlaxcala 5:2
    10.01.2024 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:0
    06.09.2023 Cancún - Tlaxcala 1:2
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    29.12.2025 Tlaxcala - Pachuca 1:4
    06.11.2025 Venados - Tlaxcala 5:1
    25.10.2025 Dorados - Tlaxcala 1:1
    Latest results of Cancún
    10.01.2026 Cancún - Dorados 3:1
    02.11.2025 Atlante - Cancún 1:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)