Tlaxcala vs Cancún – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
112
Corner kicks
94
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
196
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
84
Corner kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Chavez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Castillo E. , Salomon O. ,
  • 59', Zaragoza A. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 66', Reyes R. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodriguez J. , Villatoro M. ,
  • 68', Uscanga P. , Ochoa I. ,
  • 68', Campos K. , Padilla E. ,
  • 73', Melendre F. , Lopez L. ,
  • 76', Christian 🟨,
  • 86', Santos E. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 87', Hernandez J. , Soria E. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Salomon O. , Christian (A),
  • 90+2', Blanco J. , Iniestra A. ,

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
43.2%
Draw
28.2%
Cancún
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 28.7% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tlaxcala's performance.
  • Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cancún might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Tlaxcala - Cancún Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.5)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    3.2
    (2.5)
    9.1%
    (12.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Cancún?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cancún will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tlaxcala (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2.
    • Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Cancún were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Cancún - Tlaxcala 3:0
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    28.09.2024 Cancún - Tlaxcala 5:2
    10.01.2024 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:0
    06.09.2023 Cancún - Tlaxcala 1:2
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    29.12.2025 Tlaxcala - Pachuca 1:4
    06.11.2025 Venados - Tlaxcala 5:1
    25.10.2025 Dorados - Tlaxcala 1:1
    Latest results of Cancún
    10.01.2026 Cancún - Dorados 3:1
    02.11.2025 Atlante - Cancún 1:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)