Result
18/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
52.3% | Draw
24.3% | Venados
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Tlaxcala - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.73) |
3.79 ↓
(3.82) |
3.94 ↓
(4) |
8.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Tlaxcala is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Venados?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tlaxcala?
Venados has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Venados were as follows:
06.11.2025
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
5:1
11.04.2025
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
26.10.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:1
21.02.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Venados
1:0
21.07.2023
Venados
-
Tlaxcala
3:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
