Tlaxcala vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tlaxcala - Celaya
Result
0:3
05/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 12', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Baltazar C. ,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Barragan M. ,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Barragan M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gama D. , Serna A. ,
  • 46', Palma M. , Millan O. ,
  • 46', Celaya J. , Lozano M. ,
  • 64', Del Angel E. , Dominguez A. ,
  • 64', Blanco D. , Gamboa J. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez C. 🟥,
  • 71', Zamudio J. 🟨,
  • 72', Zamudio J. , Zago D. ,
  • 72', Rios P. , Mariscal K. ,
  • 74', Baltazar C. , Recalde B. ,
  • 74', Cervantes D. , Hernandez P. ,
  • 82', Tejeda D. , Kassi A. ,
  • 86', Millan O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
26.8%
Draw
26.6%
Celaya
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 24.7% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 24.3% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tlaxcala that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tlaxcala - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (4.24)
    3.47
    (3.74)
    1.98
    (1.73)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tlaxcala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Celaya were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Celaya - Tlaxcala 1:0
    29.03.2024 Celaya - Tlaxcala 1:1
    30.08.2023 Tlaxcala - Celaya 1:2
    03.03.2023 Celaya - Tlaxcala 1:1
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    29.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Dorados 3:2
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    01.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava 0:0
    Latest results of Celaya
    22.03.2025 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
    15.03.2025 Jaiba Brava - Celaya 0:0
    08.03.2025 Celaya - Atlético Morelia 1:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)