Result
0:3
05/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 12', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Baltazar C. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Barragan M. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 3, Barragan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gama D. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 46', Palma M. ↓, Millan O. ↑,
- 46', Celaya J. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
- 64', Del Angel E. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 64', Blanco D. ↓, Gamboa J. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez C. 🟥,
- 71', Zamudio J. 🟨,
- 72', Zamudio J. ↓, Zago D. ↑,
- 72', Rios P. ↓, Mariscal K. ↑,
- 74', Baltazar C. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
- 74', Cervantes D. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
- 82', Tejeda D. ↓, Kassi A. ↑,
- 86', Millan O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
26.8% | Draw
26.6% | Celaya
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tlaxcala that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tlaxcala - Celaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(4.24) |
3.47 ↓
(3.74) |
1.98 ↑
(1.73) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Celaya is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tlaxcala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Celaya?
Tlaxcala has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celaya won against Tlaxcala?
Celaya has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Celaya were as follows:
19.10.2024
Celaya
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
29.03.2024
Celaya
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
30.08.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Celaya
1:2
03.03.2023
Celaya
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
