Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Polonia Środa Wielkopolska – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Koltanski D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Steczynski R. ,
  • 56', 0 - 3, Koltanski D. ,

Chances of winning


Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
18.8%
Draw
20.6%
Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 22.2% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5% 21.6% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.85
    (4.29)
    4.44
    (4.08)
    1.51
    (1.6)
    9.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Środa Wielkopolska will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).
    • Tłuchowia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Środa Wielkopolska is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Środa Wielkopolska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza21144347:163146
    2Luzino22143549:272245
    3Sroda21143444:281645
    4Elana Torun22134535:251043
    5Lech Poznan II22113846:311536
    6Swinoujscie20104628:20834
    7Cartusia Kartuzy21111932:29334
    8Kluczevia Stargard2295834:26832
    9Blekitni Stargard2295837:32532
    10Lipno Steszew2294929:35-631
    11Wda Swiecie2294924:37-1331
    12Notec Czarnkow2185830:29129
    13Nowe Skalmierzyce22571019:33-1422
    14Unia Swarzedz22561121:30-921
    15Pogon Szczecin II22631340:51-1121
    16Wrzesnia21511520:32-1216
    17Tluchowo21441317:39-2216
    18Rewal22341510:42-3213

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation