Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau
Result
5:0
30/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
94
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
177
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
30
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
1028
Fouls
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Zuev A. , Ndiaye P. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Chesnokov I. , El Messaoudi A. (A),
  • 23', Gadrani G. 🟥,
  • 34', Tsitskishvili Z. 🟨,
  • 39', Tsitskishvili Z. , Askarov M. ,
  • 42', 3 - 0, El Messaoudi A. , Tagybergen A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Atykhanov R. , Oralbay E. ,
  • 50', Victor Braga 🟨,
  • 54', Victor Braga , Mosiashvili T. ,
  • 61', Oralbay E. 🟨,
  • 64', Zuev A. , Henen D. ,
  • 64', Zhagorov N. , Vukcevic M. ,
  • 72', Kaldybekov E. , Sagnaev S. ,
  • 72', Dzhumatov R. , Abzalov S. ,
  • 74', Chesnokov I. , Zhumashev Z. ,
  • 75', El Messaoudi A. , Galym B. ,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Asrankulov R. , Henen D. (A),
  • 83', Chirkov R. , Smykov K. ,
  • 85', 5 - 0, Zhumashev Z. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tobol Kostanay
67.5%
Draw
20.2%
Atyrau
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.5% 15.3% 7.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tobol Kostanay's form might have worsened.
  • Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.
  • Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.2)
    4.57
    (6.08)
    7.5
    (12.94)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Atyrau will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tobol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 2.
    • Tobol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atyrau has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atyrau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tobol has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tobol is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Tobol will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 1:1
    23.06.2024 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 0:0
    19.06.2024 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 4:0
    29.05.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 2:0
    08.07.2023 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 0:1
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    Latest results of Atyrau
    25.05.2025 Atyrau - Kaisar 1:2
    17.05.2025 Atyrau - Zhetysu 1:1
    10.05.2025 Turan Turkistan - Atyrau 1:0
    03.05.2025 Atyrau - Ordabasy 1:2
    30.04.2025 Atyrau - Astana 0:2
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty20134341:172443
    2FC Astana18124241:162540
    3Tobol18115232:161638
    4Yelimay Semey21105631:22935
    5Aktobe19103627:161133
    6Okzhetpes2095629:25432
    7Ordabasy1977522:16628
    8Zhenis20610423:17628
    9Kyzylzhar2149821:27-621
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan2047915:31-1619
    11Kaisar Kyzylorda2039819:32-1318
    12Turan21431415:39-2415
    13Ulytau19351111:26-1514
    14Atyrau20241413:40-2710

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League