Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Zuev A. 🟨,
- 16', El Messaoudi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Dzhumatov R. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Trufanov Y. ⚽,
- 71', Zuev A. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
- 72', Dorofeev K. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
- 73', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
- 78', Trufanov Y. ↓, Kybyray Y. ↑,
- 83', Victor Braga ↓, Mosiashvili T. ↑,
- 90+1', Zhagorov N. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
- 90+1', Tagybergen A. ↓, Ededem E. ↑,
- 90+3', Stasevich I. ↓, Smykov K. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atyrau
20.7% | Draw
26.3% | Tobol Kostanay
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atyrau's performance.Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atyrau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.55 ↓
(8.5) |
3.58 ↓
(3.95) |
1.78 ↑
(1.42) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Atyrau will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tobol will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atyrau (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tobol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Tobol (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Atyrau (votes: 1 - 25%). Tobol (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.
- Atyrau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tobol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Atyrau has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tobol is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Tobol Kostanay?
Atyrau has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Atyrau?
Tobol Kostanay has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
30.05.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
5:0
31.08.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
1:1
23.06.2024
Atyrau
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:0
19.06.2024
Atyrau
-
Tobol Kostanay
4:0
29.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
2:0
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Kyzylzhar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Altai | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Zhenis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Kaspij Aktau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Tobol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
