Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau
Result
5:0
30/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
94
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
177
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
30
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
1028
Fouls
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Zuev A. , Ndiaye P. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Chesnokov I. , El Messaoudi A. (A),
  • 23', Gadrani G. 🟥,
  • 34', Tsitskishvili Z. 🟨,
  • 39', Tsitskishvili Z. , Askarov M. ,
  • 42', 3 - 0, El Messaoudi A. , Tagybergen A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Atykhanov R. , Oralbay E. ,
  • 50', Victor Braga 🟨,
  • 54', Victor Braga , Mosiashvili T. ,
  • 61', Oralbay E. 🟨,
  • 64', Zuev A. , Henen D. ,
  • 64', Zhagorov N. , Vukcevic M. ,
  • 72', Kaldybekov E. , Sagnaev S. ,
  • 72', Dzhumatov R. , Abzalov S. ,
  • 74', Chesnokov I. , Zhumashev Z. ,
  • 75', El Messaoudi A. , Galym B. ,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Asrankulov R. , Henen D. (A),
  • 83', Chirkov R. , Smykov K. ,
  • 85', 5 - 0, Zhumashev Z. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tobol Kostanay
67.5%
Draw
20.2%
Atyrau
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.5% 15.3% 7.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tobol Kostanay's form might have worsened.
  • Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.
  • Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.2)
    4.57
    (6.08)
    7.5
    (12.94)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Atyrau will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tobol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 2.
    • Tobol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atyrau has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atyrau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tobol has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tobol is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Tobol will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 1:1
    23.06.2024 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 0:0
    19.06.2024 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 4:0
    29.05.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 2:0
    08.07.2023 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 0:1
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    Latest results of Atyrau
    25.05.2025 Atyrau - Kaisar 1:2
    17.05.2025 Atyrau - Zhetysu 1:1
    10.05.2025 Turan Turkistan - Atyrau 1:0
    03.05.2025 Atyrau - Ordabasy 1:2
    30.04.2025 Atyrau - Astana 0:2
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana18124241:162540
    2Kairat Almaty18124238:142440
    3Tobol17105230:161435
    4Aktobe17103426:121433
    5Yelimay Semey1884625:18728
    6Okzhetpes1884625:24128
    7Zhenis1859420:16424
    8Ordabasy1665515:13223
    9Kyzylzhar1847719:23-419
    10Kaisar Kyzylorda1838718:30-1217
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan1837814:28-1416
    12Ulytau17341010:24-1413
    13Turan17321213:33-2011
    14Atyrau18221410:37-278

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League