Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Zuev A. 🟨,
- 16', El Messaoudi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Dzhumatov R. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Trufanov Y. ⚽,
- 71', Zuev A. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
- 72', Dorofeev K. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
- 73', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
- 78', Trufanov Y. ↓, Kybyray Y. ↑,
- 83', Victor Braga ↓, Mosiashvili T. ↑,
- 90+1', Zhagorov N. ↓, Galym B. ↑,
- 90+1', Tagybergen A. ↓, Ededem E. ↑,
- 90+3', Stasevich I. ↓, Smykov K. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atyrau
20.7% | Draw
26.3% | Tobol Kostanay
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atyrau's performance.Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atyrau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.55 ↓
(8.5) |
3.58 ↓
(3.95) |
1.78 ↑
(1.42) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Atyrau will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tobol will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atyrau (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tobol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.
- Atyrau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tobol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Atyrau has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tobol is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Tobol Kostanay?
Atyrau has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Atyrau?
Tobol Kostanay has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
30.05.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
5:0
31.08.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
1:1
23.06.2024
Atyrau
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:0
19.06.2024
Atyrau
-
Tobol Kostanay
4:0
29.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
2:0
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 66:30 | 36 | 57 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
