Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
86
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
12
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
2416
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
1421
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Zuev A. 🟨,
  • 16', El Messaoudi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Dzhumatov R. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Trufanov Y. ,
  • 71', Zuev A. , Umarov S. ,
  • 72', Dorofeev K. , Chunchukov T. ,
  • 73', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
  • 78', Trufanov Y. , Kybyray Y. ,
  • 83', Victor Braga , Mosiashvili T. ,
  • 90+1', Zhagorov N. , Galym B. ,
  • 90+1', Tagybergen A. , Ededem E. ,
  • 90+3', Stasevich I. , Smykov K. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Atyrau
20.7%
Draw
26.3%
Tobol Kostanay
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.9% 23.5% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8% 23.2% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atyrau's performance.
  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atyrau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.55
    (8.5)
    3.58
    (3.95)
    1.78
    (1.42)
    6.2%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atyrau will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tobol will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atyrau (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tobol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.
    • Atyrau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tobol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Atyrau has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tobol is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
    30.05.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 5:0
    31.08.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 1:1
    23.06.2024 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 0:0
    19.06.2024 Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay 4:0
    29.05.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 2:0
    Latest results of Atyrau
    23.08.2025 Kaisar - Atyrau 0:0
    17.08.2025 Zhetysu - Atyrau 0:0
    09.08.2025 Atyrau - Turan Turkistan 1:1
    03.08.2025 Ordabasy - Atyrau 2:2
    20.07.2025 Kyzylzhar - Atyrau 0:1
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana24165360:263453
    2Kairat Almaty23164346:182852
    3Tobol24155441:221950
    4Aktobe24133834:221242
    5Yelimay Semey24126638:261242
    6Zhenis24810634:27734
    7Okzhetpes24951032:33-132
    8Ordabasy2487928:25331
    9Kyzylzhar24591024:31-724
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan23491018:35-1721
    11Ulytau24561317:38-2121
    12Kaisar Kyzylorda243111021:39-1820
    13Atyrau24461419:41-2218
    14Turan24441619:48-2916

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League