Result
13/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Atyrau
12.9% | Draw
24.7% | Tobol Kostanay
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.14 ↓
(8.5) |
3.72 ↓
(3.95) |
1.47 ↑
(1.42) |
8.8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.
- Atyrau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tobol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Atyrau has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tobol is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Tobol Kostanay?
Atyrau has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Atyrau?
Tobol Kostanay has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
30.05.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
5:0
31.08.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
1:1
23.06.2024
Atyrau
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:0
19.06.2024
Atyrau
-
Tobol Kostanay
4:0
29.05.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Atyrau
2:0
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 46 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Tobol | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 37:18 | 19 | 44 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 20 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 20:37 | -17 | 19 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 17 |
| 13 | Turan | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:41 | -26 | 15 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
