Result
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)
Chances of winning
Zhenis
33.2% | Draw
29.5% | Tobol Kostanay
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zhenis - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.59) |
3.09 ↑
(2.88) |
2.44 ↓
(2.83) |
9.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Zhenis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zhenis won against Tobol Kostanay?
Zhenis has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Zhenis?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zhenis - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
29.08.2025
Zhenis
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:1
29.06.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Zhenis
2:2
25.06.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Zhenis
2:1
08.03.2025
Zhenis
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:0
04.10.2024
Zhenis
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
