Result
0:2
11/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 69% (33/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 50% (12/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 60% (3/5) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 40% (21/52) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 52% (12/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 50% (4/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (42/74) | 63% (45/72) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (27/72) | 43% (32/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (69/146) | 53% (77/146) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Toby Samuel
45.6% | Daniel Merida Aguilar
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Toby Samuel - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.07) |
|
1.72 ↑
(1.66) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Toby Samuel - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Samuel is ranked ATP: 244. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 152.
- Samuel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Merida Aguilar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Merida Aguilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samuel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Toby Samuel won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Toby Samuel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Toby Samuel?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toby Samuel - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
03.02.2026
Toby Samuel
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
0:2
Latest results of Toby Samuel
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Callejon H. S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Gentzsch T. (SE) | Willwerth B. (JR) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rincon D. | Samuel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Giustino L. (RET.) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Travaglia S. (4) | Shelbayh A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Barton H. (LL) | Peniston R. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Hassan B. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Moro Canas A. (WC) | Loffhagen G. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Barranco Cosano J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Berrettini J. (WC) | Vasami J. (JR) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dodig M. | Hussey G. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Almazan Valiente I. (Q) | Mikrut L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Harris L. (6) | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Damas M. (Q) | Pereira T. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Martin Tiffon P. (Alt) | Brancaccio R. (SE) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Huesler M. | Ofner S. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Gentzsch T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samuel T. | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (4) | Barton H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Hassan B. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Berrettini J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Hussey G. | Mikrut L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Harris L. (6) | Damas M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Martin Tiffon P. | Huesler M. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gentzsch T. | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. (4) | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Mikrut L. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Harris L. (6) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Harris L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Moro Canas A. | Harris L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
