Atlético Cearense vs Tocantinópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis
Result
3:1
01/07/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Chances of winning


Atlético Cearense
53.7%
Draw
27%
Tocantinópolis
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30.1% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 29% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Cearense's performance.
  • Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tocantinópolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Cearense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.99)
    3.33
    (2.97)
    4.66
    (3.58)
    11.1%
    (12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Cearense will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Tocantinópolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Atlético Cearense will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Cearense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Cearense - Tocantinópolis were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Tocantinópolis - Atlético Cearense 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Cearense
    Latest results of Tocantinópolis
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1