Tochigi vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
29/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
82
Corner kicks
75
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
206
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
124
Corner kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kondo Y. , Nakano K. (A),
  • 35', Osone K. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Fujii T. , Tamura S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Tamura S. , Onose K. ,
  • 46', Takeda S. , Arthur Feitoza ,
  • 47', Arthur Feitoza 🟨,
  • 59', Ishii H. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 61', Uchida K. , Yanagi Y. ,
  • 64', Suzuki Y. , Kase N. ,
  • 73', Kondo Y. , Yano K. ,
  • 73', Nakano K. , Sugimori K. ,
  • 76', Sugimori K. 🟨,
  • 82', Okuno H. , Ota S. ,
  • 83', Tabata T. , Tabata R. ,
  • 83', Yoshino H. , Sato S. ,
  • 90', Yanagi Y. 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Onose K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Sugimori K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ota S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Yano K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Yamada H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Iwasaki H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Hakamata Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Yanagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Arthur Feitoza (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Kamifukumoto N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tochigi
27.9%
Draw
28.2%
Shonan Bellmare
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 28.4% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 27.2% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Tochigi - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.95)
    3.24
    (3.25)
    2.09
    (2.28)
    9.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
    • Tochigi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Shonan Bellmare is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    04.04.2026 Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi 2:1
    Latest results of Tochigi
    25.04.2026 Tochigi City - Tochigi 2:1
    19.04.2026 Tochigi - Sagamihara 0:2
    04.04.2026 Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi 2:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai151040133:1138
    2Shonan Bellmare15831327:1431
    3Blaublitz15901519:1428
    4Sagamihara15622527:2524
    5Yokohama FC15521731:2820
    6Montedio Yamagata15520817:1819
    7Kusatsu15512719:3319
    8Tochigi City15412818:3416
    9Tochigi SC15403823:3015
    10Vanraure15403813:2015


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kofu15910519:1129
    2Iwaki15731424:1728
    3Omiya Ardija15811533:2327
    4Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo15720621:1825
    5Gifu14711520:1824
    6Fujieda MYFC15525320:2224
    7Iwata15442517:1822
    8Yamaga14512625:1919
    9Fukushima Utd15312922:3513
    10Nagano15213912:3211


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Toyama15931235:1834
    2Tokushima15901532:1828
    3Albirex Niigata15731419:1528
    4Kochi United15722422:2027
    5Ehime15712524:1625
    6Kanazawa15432614:2120
    7Osaka15324613:1717
    8Imabari15412811:1616
    9Nara Club15322819:3215
    10Kamatamare15411911:2715


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki151301130:940
    2Sagan Tosu15722422:1327
    3Kagoshima Utd15641420:1327
    4Renofa Yamaguchi15721524:2026
    5Kumamoto15801618:1725
    6Oita Trinita15611718:1621
    7Gainare Tottori14421715:2117
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu15402915:2714
    9Reilac Shiga1440199:2413
    10Ryukyu15133812:2312

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )