Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽,
- 56', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Takahashi S. ⚽,
- 66', Yamamoto K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 66', Yamamoto R. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
- 68', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
- 76', Nakano K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
- 76', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
- 78', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
- 78', Yasunaga R. 🟨,
- 82', Omori H. 🟨,
- 85', Kawana R. 🟨,
- 89', Yasunaga R. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 89', Sugita H. ↓, Matsumura G. ↑,
- 90+1', Kawana R. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
33% | Draw
30.1% | Tochigi
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.52) |
3.06 ↑
(3.01) |
2.49 ↓
(2.63) |
8.7%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0.
- In recent matches, Matsumoto Yamaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tochigi is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Tochigi?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi were as follows:
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
