Matsumoto Yamaga vs Tochigi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
911
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ,
  • 56', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Takahashi S. ,
  • 66', Yamamoto K. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 66', Yamamoto R. , Ogawa D. ,
  • 68', Ota R. , Yano K. ,
  • 76', Nakano K. , Tanahashi A. ,
  • 76', Igarashi T. , Otabor K. ,
  • 78', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
  • 78', Yasunaga R. 🟨,
  • 82', Omori H. 🟨,
  • 85', Kawana R. 🟨,
  • 89', Yasunaga R. , Kawakami K. ,
  • 89', Sugita H. , Matsumura G. ,
  • 90+1', Kawana R. , Mori R. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
33%
Draw
30.1%
Tochigi
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 29.9% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 32.5% 31.6%

Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.78
(2.52)
3.06
(3.01)
2.49
(2.63)
8.7%
(11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0.
  • In recent matches, Matsumoto Yamaga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Tochigi is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Matsumoto Yamaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Tochigi
20.09.2025 Tochigi - Ryūkyū 4:1
14.09.2025 Kochi United - Tochigi 0:1
30.08.2025 Tochigi - Nara Club 1:1
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs

Semi-finals
1Osaka (3)Kanazawa (6)1 : 0
2Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)Kagoshima Utd (5)2 : 0

Final
1Osaka (3)Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)