Result
4:1
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Nakano K. ⚽, Uchida K. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Ota R. ⚽,
- 23', 3 - 0, Igarashi T. ⚽, Kawana R. (A),
- 25', Suzuki J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tsuha J. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
- 46', Ishiura T. ↓, Asakawa H. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 1, Iwamoto S. ⚽,
- 57', Kikuchi S. 🟨,
- 60', Motegi S. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
- 63', Kawana R. ↓, Mori R. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽,
- 71', Nakano K. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
- 71', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
- 72', Iwamoto S. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
- 85', Takagi D. ↓, Iwabuchi R. ↑,
- 87', Igarashi T. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
- 89', Diamanka C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Uchida K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tochigi
60.5% | Draw
23.4% | Ryūkyū
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tochigi's performance.Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryūkyū might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Tochigi - Ryūkyū Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.71) |
4.15 ↑
(3.54) |
6 ↑
(4.26) |
3.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tochigi - Ryūkyū?
Users Predictions:
Tochigi will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 0.
- Tochigi is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Ryūkyū has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tochigi is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Tochigi will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Ryūkyū?
Tochigi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ryūkyū won against Tochigi?
Ryūkyū has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi - Ryūkyū were as follows:
23.03.2025
Ryūkyū
-
Tochigi
2:1
25.09.2022
Tochigi
-
Ryūkyū
0:0
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
