Machida Zelvia vs Tokushima Vortis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Machida Zelvia - Tokushima Vortis
Result
2:1
29/07/2023 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
56.6%
Draw
26.3%
Tokushima Vortis
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.1% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 23.3% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machida Zelvia's form might have worsened.
  • Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Tokushima Vortis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.5)
    3.54
    (3.9)
    5.35
    (7)
    8.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Tokushima Vortis?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tokushima will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 53.9%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 0.
    • Machida Zelvia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tokushima is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Machida Zelvia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Tokushima Vortis were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Tokushima Vortis - Machida Zelvia 2:1
    01.10.2022 Tokushima Vortis - Machida Zelvia 3:2
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Tokushima Vortis
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito24146437:191848
    2Chiba24126635:231242
    3Vegalta Sendai24119428:21742
    4Omiya Ardija24118534:211341
    5Tokushima24118524:131141
    6V-Varen Nagasaki24109539:35439
    7Sagan Tosu24116725:22339
    8Iwata24115837:32538
    9Imabari24810628:23534
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo241041031:39-834
    11Kofu2488824:23132
    12Fujieda MYFC24771028:32-428
    13Iwaki2469930:34-427
    14Oita Trinita2469920:24-427
    15Blaublitz24831332:43-1127
    16Montedio Yamagata24751234:36-226
    17Kumamoto24661228:37-924
    18Toyama24571219:29-1022
    19Renofa Yamaguchi243111021:30-920
    20Ehime242101223:41-1816

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League