Result
0:4
24/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/521) | 62% (132/212) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/521) | 62% (132/212) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 22% (11/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (104/151) | 59% (45/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.54 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Rafael Elias (Pen),
- 13', 0 - 2, Rafael Elias (Pen),
- 30', Sato K. 🟨,
- 31', Koizumi K. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 3, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 45+4', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
- 45+4', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Matsuda T. 🟨,
- 63', Hara T. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 64', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
- 64', Nozawa L. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
- 71', Takeda S. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 71', Fukuda S. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 77', Koizumi K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 4, Rafael Elias ⚽,
- 84', Rafael Elias ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 84', Matsuda T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 84', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Kominato T. ↑,
- 84', Hashimoto K. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
26% | Draw
29% | Kyoto Sanga
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo's form might have worsened.Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoto Sanga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↑
(2.44) |
4 ↑
(3.51) |
2.47 ↓
(2.86) |
-13%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Kyoto will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 54.4% – 89.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Nozawa L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Appiah Tawiah H.
(Injury)
Marco Tulio
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kyoto Sanga?
Tokyo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Tokyo?
Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
31.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Tokyo
3:0
24.08.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Tokyo
3:0
03.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:1
12.08.2023
Tokyo
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
18.06.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Tokyo
1:3
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
