Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka).

J1 League - Round 8
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.37	1.01
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
20	15
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
9	7
Passes
72% (209/290)	72% (233/322)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.37	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	1.05
Total shots
20	15
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
8	6
Shots inside the box
8	9
Shots outside the box
12	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
9	7
Touches in opposition box
31	37
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
6	14
Passes
72% (209/290)	72% (233/322)
Long passes
26% (12/46)	45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
73% (89/122)	71% (97/137)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.85
Throw ins
23	23
Fouls
14	6
Tackles
71% (12/17)	33% (4/12)
Duels won
44	47
Clearances
28	20
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.05	0.54
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Koda H. ⚽, Nogami Y. (A),
35', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
59', Nogami Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
59', Morishima T. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
61', Arai H. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
61', Hiraoka T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
65', Hirato T. 🟨,
73', Nakano R. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
80', Koda H. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
80', Izumi R. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
81', Souza Alex 🟨,
90', Honda F. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Marco Tulio (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Okugawa M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nakayama K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hirato T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mikuni K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yoon S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Nagai K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Fukuda S. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kyoto Sanga
38.8%

Draw
28.1%

Nagoya Grampus
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)	3.35 ↓ (3.47)	2.83 ↓ (2.95)	6.6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Nogami Y. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Nagoya Grampus?

Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kyoto Sanga?

Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2

11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1

07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 3:2

26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:1

16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 2:1

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

18.03.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

18.03.2026 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe 0:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:5 ✺

01.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Nagoya Grampus - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2026

East

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	14	10	1	2	1	23:10	34
2	FC Tokyo	14	8	3	2	1	29:13	32
3	Machida	13	5	4	2	2	21:20	25
4	Verdy	13	6	3	0	4	20:16	24
5	Kawasaki Frontale	14	5	2	1	6	20:25	20
6	Urawa Reds	14	5	0	3	6	20:19	18
7	Mito	14	2	4	4	4	21:28	18
8	Yokohama F. Marinos	14	5	0	1	8	21:26	16
9	Kashiwa Reysol	14	3	1	0	10	16:21	11
10	Chiba	14	2	0	3	9	13:26	9

West

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	13	7	1	3	2	23:18	26
2	Gamba Osaka	15	4	5	3	3	28:21	25
3	Nagoya Grampus	14	6	2	3	3	25:20	25
4	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	4	1	5	17:14	21
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	5	2	1	6	21:19	20
6	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	4	4	18:19	20
7	Okayama	14	4	2	4	4	18:24	20
8	Kyoto	13	4	3	1	5	20:18	19
9	Avispa Fukuoka	15	3	3	3	6	18:27	18
10	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	5	0	1	8	14:22	16

      Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
      Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)