Result
3:2
19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.28 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
84% (338/401) | 83% (365/440) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.28 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.65 | 0.55 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
84% (338/401) | 83% (365/440) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (18/35) | 42% (22/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (105/140) | 60% (45/75) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (7/27) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.13 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 50% (8/16) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.55 | 1.65 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.45 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Endo K. ⚽, Nagatomo Y. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Yasui K. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 2, Watanabe R. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 62', Komori H. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 62', Matheus Savio ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Nagatomo Y. (A),
- 73', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
- 73', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 75', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 75', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 80', Danilo Boza 🟨,
- 85', Yasui K. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 86', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
- 86', Ko T. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Nakagawa T. ⚽,
- 90+2', Muroya S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Scholz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tokyo 37% | Draw 27.7% | Urawa Red Diamonds 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (2.52) |
3.41 ↓ (3.42) |
2.66 ↓ (2.72) |
6% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Urawa will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1% – 70.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
- Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Henrique Trevisan
(Calf Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Kim Seung-Gyu
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Tokyo?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
17.05.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Tokyo
3:2
21.09.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Tokyo
0:2
03.04.2024
Tokyo
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:1
08.07.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Tokyo
0:0
18.02.2023
Tokyo
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:0
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League