Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	0.62
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
84% (338/401)	83% (365/440)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.65	0.55
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
29	14
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
84% (338/401)	83% (365/440)
Long passes
51% (18/35)	42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
75% (105/140)	60% (45/75)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.13	0.52
Throw-ins
19	16
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
62% (8/13)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
50	48
Clearances
17	28
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.55	1.65
Goals prevented
-1.45	-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Endo K. ⚽, Nagatomo Y. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Yasui K. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Watanabe R. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
62', Komori H. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
62', Matheus Savio ↓, Thiago ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Nagatomo Y. (A),
73', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
73', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
75', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
75', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
80', Danilo Boza 🟨,
85', Yasui K. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
86', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
86', Ko T. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Nakagawa T. ⚽,
90+2', Muroya S. 🟨,
90+4', Scholz A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
37%

Draw
27.7%

Urawa Red Diamonds
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.52)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.66 ↓ (2.72)	6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Urawa will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1% – 70.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo: Henrique Trevisan (Calf Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury)
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Kim Seung-Gyu (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Tokyo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Tokyo?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2

21.09.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:2

03.04.2024 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 0:0

18.02.2023 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:0

Latest results of Tokyo

16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

25.06.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Inter Milan - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

17.06.2025 River Plate - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
2	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
3	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
4	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
6	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

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      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League