Ponferrada vs Toledo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
89:63
07/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda FEB - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainLaLiga+

Chances of winning


Ponferrada
51%
Toledo
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferrada's form might have worsened.
  • Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toledo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toledo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ponferrada - Toledo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.53)

    1.88
    (2.22)
    8.6%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Ponferrada has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toledo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:82.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferrada - Toledo were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Toledo - Ponferrada 82:85
    Latest results of Ponferrada
    31.01.2026 Cáceres CB - Ponferrada 86:60
    17.01.2026 Ponferrada - Córdoba 82:74
    11.01.2026 Clavijo - Ponferrada 77:72
    03.01.2026 Circulo Gijón - Ponferrada 62:70
    20.12.2025 Ponferrada - Morón 61:77
    Latest results of Toledo
    01.02.2026 Toledo - Leonesa 73:54
    17.01.2026 Valle de Egüés - Toledo 83:81
    11.01.2026 Toledo - Valladolid 87:73
    03.01.2026 Cáceres CB - Toledo 95:96
    21.12.2025 Toledo - Córdoba 76:74