Result
1:2 OT
15/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:57, 1 - 0, Stafeyev G. (G), Melnikov Y. (A),
- 16:07, 1 - 1, Shebyakin M. (G), Petrenko D. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:56, 1 - 2, Koltsov N. (G),
Chances of winning
Chaika
39.4% | Draw
21.6% | Tolpar
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Chaika - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.3) |
4.2 ↓
(4.23) |
2.32 ↑
(2.3) |
10.4%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 4.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 53:46. (average 2.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 3.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaika won against Tolpar?
Chaika has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Chaika?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaika - Tolpar were as follows:
13.01.2026
Chaika
-
Tolpar
3:1
11.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Chaika
2:3
10.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Chaika
5:2
18.08.2025
Chaika
-
Tolpar
4:2
25.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Chaika
4:7
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | SKA-1946 | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Krasnaya Armiya | |
| 3 | Tolpar | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Avto | |
| 5 | Loko | Bye | |
| 6 | Din. St. Petersburg | Tayfun | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Stalnye Lisy | Bye | |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | Loko-76 | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | MHC Spartak | Bye | |
| 10 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | SKA-Akademiya | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dyn. Moscow | Bye | |
| 12 | Dinamo-Shinnik | Krylya Sovetov | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Omskie Yastreby | Bye | |
| 14 | Mamonty Yugry | Sibirskie Snaipery | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Irbis | Bye | |
| 16 | Chaika | Ladya | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | SKA-1946 | Krasnaya Armiya | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tolpar | Avto | |
| 3 | Loko | Din. St. Petersburg | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Stalnye Lisy | Belye Medvedi | |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Dyn. Moscow | Dinamo-Shinnik | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Omskie Yastreby | Sibirskie Snaipery | |
| 8 | Irbis | Chaika | |
