Result
2:3
11/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:22, 0 - 1, Popov Y. (G), Mishin V. (A), Anisimov A. (A2)
- 08:12, 1 - 1, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Gunkin Y. (A), Adamyan A. (A2)
- 18:49, 1 - 2, Melnikov Y. (G), Fyodorov V. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:15, 2 - 2, Adamyan A. (G), Buzdyganov V. (A),
- 15:45, 2 - 3, Glazunov M. (G), Gornov S. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tolpar
45% | Draw
21.8% | Chaika
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tolpar - Chaika Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.8) |
4.28 ↓
(4.6) |
2.81 ↑
(2.02) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.
- Tolpar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chaika's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 49:56. (average 2.5:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 3.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Chaika?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaika won against Tolpar?
Chaika has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Chaika were as follows:
10.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Chaika
5:2
18.08.2025
Chaika
-
Tolpar
4:2
25.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Chaika
4:7
11.12.2024
Chaika
-
Tolpar
2:1
25.12.2023
Tolpar
-
Chaika
4:3
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 54:16 | 25 |
| 2 | Krasnaya Armiya | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 53:26 | 24 |
| 3 | MHC Spartak | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 58:36 | 22 |
| 4 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 41:21 | 22 |
| 5 | Dyn. Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 43:32 | 21 |
| 6 | Almaz | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 39:34 | 18 |
| 7 | SKA-1946 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 50:38 | 16 |
| 8 | Din. St. Petersburg | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 49:38 | 15 |
| 9 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 41:35 | 14 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SKA-Akademiya | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 41:37 | 20 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 14 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 40:41 | 18 |
| 3 | Tayfun | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 38:43 | 15 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 39:39 | 15 |
| 5 | Amurskie Tigry | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27:37 | 13 |
| 6 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 37:53 | 12 |
| 7 | Atlant | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 33:39 | 10 |
| 8 | AKM-Junior | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 29:43 | 8 |
| 9 | Kapitan | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28:39 | 7 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 25:70 | 3 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19:66 | 1 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stalnye Lisy | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 58:19 | 26 |
| 2 | Omskie Yastreby | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 61:23 | 24 |
| 3 | Mamonty Yugry | 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 39:30 | 20 |
| 4 | Chaika | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38:31 | 18 |
| 5 | Irbis | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 49:43 | 18 |
| 6 | Belye Medvedi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 45:42 | 16 |
| 7 | Tolpar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 56:41 | 16 |
| 8 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 42:59 | 16 |
| 9 | Avto | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 45:48 | 12 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 45:36 | 16 |
| 2 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 43:31 | 14 |
| 3 | Loko-76 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26:20 | 14 |
| 4 | Molot Perm | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 40:41 | 13 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 45:43 | 12 |
| 6 | Reaktor | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 33:36 | 12 |
| 7 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 20:37 | 9 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 34:54 | 8 |
| 9 | Snezhnye Barsy | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 33:76 | 6 |
| 10 | Tyumensky Legion | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19:62 | 2 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
