Chaika vs Tolpar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 OT
15/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:57, 1 - 0, Stafeyev G. (G), Melnikov Y. (A),
  • 16:07, 1 - 1, Shebyakin M. (G), Petrenko D. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 01:56, 1 - 2, Koltsov N. (G),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chaika
39.4%
Draw
21.6%
Tolpar
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 21.4% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 23.2% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Chaika - Tolpar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.3)
    4.2
    (4.23)
    2.32
    (2.3)
    10.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 4.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 53:46. (average 2.7:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 3.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaika - Tolpar were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Chaika - Tolpar 3:1
    11.09.2025 Tolpar - Chaika 2:3
    10.09.2025 Tolpar - Chaika 5:2
    18.08.2025 Chaika - Tolpar 4:2
    25.12.2024 Tolpar - Chaika 4:7
    Latest results of Chaika
    13.01.2026 Chaika - Tolpar 3:1
    11.01.2026 Chaika - Stalnye Lisy 1:7
    10.01.2026 Chaika - Stalnye Lisy 2:5
    26.12.2025 Omskye Yastreby - Chaika 3:1
    25.12.2025 Omskye Yastreby - Chaika 6:0
    Latest results of Tolpar
    13.01.2026 Chaika - Tolpar 3:1
    11.01.2026 Irbis Kazan - Tolpar 6:3
    10.01.2026 Irbis Kazan - Tolpar 3:0
    05.01.2026 Tolpar - Molot Perm 6:2
    24.12.2025 Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy 4:5
    MHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Loko5137545229:8988
    2Dyn. Moscow50298211188:11276
    3SKA-194650313511203:11373
    4Krasnaya Armiya49277510168:11073
    5MHC Spartak48295311186:12071
    6Mikhaylov Academy U2048274314158:10865
    7Dinamo-Shinnik49226714144:11363
    8Almaz51264120161:14961
    9Din. St. Petersburg49261418160:14058


    Western Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Krylya Sovetov521851118132:14957
    2Tayfun51204819132:13456
    3SKA-Akademiya51204621144:17054
    4MHC Spartak MAX50176522153:15951
    5AKM-Junior51194226135:15148
    6Amurskie Tigry51173625118:16346
    7Kapitan53183329133:16345
    8Atlant50182327136:16143
    9Sakhalinskie Akuly48137028110:13940
    10Dinamo Karelia5074336122:24025
    11Red Mashine501214681:2627


    Eastern Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Omskie Yastreby52304612194:10674
    2Irbis48294510161:9971
    3Stalnye Lisy47246413161:11564
    4Chaika49244516143:13961
    5Mamonty Yugry48207714128:11561
    6Tolpar48197814170:13360
    7Avto48271317154:14759
    8Belye Medvedi47206120140:13653
    9Kuznetskie Medvedi51137625126:16746


    Eastern Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ladya51268116146:11069
    2Loko-7648226812139:10264
    3Sibirskie Snaipery49281515166:10663
    4Reaktor49215518158:14357
    5Sputnik Almetievsk52176326168:20149
    6Krasnoyarskie Rysi50135626117:15442
    7Molot Perm49115627128:18038
    8AKM-Novomoskovsk50102830103:19732
    9Tyumensky Legion489223599:19624
    10Snezhnye Barsy467133598:20119

          Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )