Result
1:2 OT
15/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:57, 1 - 0, Stafeyev G. (G), Melnikov Y. (A),
- 16:07, 1 - 1, Shebyakin M. (G), Petrenko D. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:56, 1 - 2, Koltsov N. (G),
Chances of winning
Chaika
39.4% | Draw
21.6% | Tolpar
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Chaika - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.3) |
4.2 ↓
(4.23) |
2.32 ↑
(2.3) |
10.4%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 4.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 53:46. (average 2.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 3.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaika won against Tolpar?
Chaika has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Chaika?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaika - Tolpar were as follows:
13.01.2026
Chaika
-
Tolpar
3:1
11.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Chaika
2:3
10.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Chaika
5:2
18.08.2025
Chaika
-
Tolpar
4:2
25.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Chaika
4:7
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko ✔ | 57 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 258:99 | 99 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow ✔ | 56 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 205:127 | 85 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 ✔ | 57 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 217:124 | 83 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 57 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 194:126 | 83 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 56 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 220:141 | 81 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 57 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 184:135 | 76 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 56 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 161:127 | 71 |
| 8 | Din. St. Petersburg | 57 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 184:158 | 69 |
| 9 | Almaz | 57 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 179:168 | 67 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tayfun | 59 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 152:152 | 66 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 58 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 150:167 | 64 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 59 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 164:201 | 60 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 58 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 182:190 | 59 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 57 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 150:167 | 56 |
| 6 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 57 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 139:161 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlant | 58 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 157:183 | 52 |
| 8 | Amurskie Tigry | 59 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 135:190 | 52 |
| 9 | Kapitan | 58 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 150:178 | 51 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 59 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 147:291 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 59 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 98:299 | 10 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby ✔ | 55 | 33 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 208:109 | 80 |
| 2 | Irbis | 54 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 173:109 | 77 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy | 54 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 198:131 | 77 |
| 4 | Tolpar | 55 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 203:146 | 73 |
| 5 | Mamonty Yugry | 54 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 156:126 | 70 |
| 6 | Chaika | 54 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 160:144 | 69 |
| 7 | Avto | 54 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 179:160 | 68 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 54 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 169:150 | 66 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 55 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 137:178 | 51 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 55 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 153:118 | 73 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 154:118 | 70 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 54 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 180:128 | 69 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 171:166 | 58 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 57 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 177:228 | 50 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 55 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 129:168 | 46 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 54 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 140:204 | 41 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 55 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 122:224 | 34 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 52 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 102:220 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 53 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 107:233 | 23 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Loko is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Dyn. Moscow is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
SKA-1946 is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Omskie Yastreby is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
