Tolpar vs Chaika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey MHL Tolpar - Chaika
Result
2:3
11/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:22, 0 - 1, Popov Y. (G), Mishin V. (A), Anisimov A. (A2)
  • 08:12, 1 - 1, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Gunkin Y. (A), Adamyan A. (A2)
  • 18:49, 1 - 2, Melnikov Y. (G), Fyodorov V. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:15, 2 - 2, Adamyan A. (G), Buzdyganov V. (A),
  • 15:45, 2 - 3, Glazunov M. (G), Gornov S. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tolpar
45%
Draw
21.8%
Chaika
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 20.3% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 19.9% 45.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.
  • Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tolpar - Chaika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.8)
    4.28
    (4.6)
    2.81
    (2.02)
    7.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.
    • Tolpar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaika's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 49:56. (average 2.5:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 3.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Chaika were as follows:
    10.09.2025 Tolpar - Chaika 5:2
    18.08.2025 Chaika - Tolpar 4:2
    25.12.2024 Tolpar - Chaika 4:7
    11.12.2024 Chaika - Tolpar 2:1
    25.12.2023 Tolpar - Chaika 4:3
    Latest results of Tolpar
    10.09.2025 Tolpar - Chaika 5:2
    07.09.2025 Tolpar - Irbis Kazan 5:6
    06.09.2025 Tolpar - Irbis Kazan 3:4
    28.08.2025 Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy 5:4
    27.08.2025 Tolpar - Avto 6:4
    Latest results of Chaika
    10.09.2025 Tolpar - Chaika 5:2
    07.09.2025 Stalnye Lisy - Chaika 6:3
    05.09.2025 Stalnye Lisy - Chaika 3:1
    18.08.2025 Chaika - Tolpar 4:2
    17.08.2025 Irbis Kazan - Chaika 6:5
    MHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Krasnaya Armiya9711041:1617
    2MHC Spartak8600233:2012
    3SKA-19468420238:2112
    4Dyn. Moscow7420123:1412
    5Loko6411025:711
    6Din. St. Petersburg8500331:2010
    7Dinamo-Shinnik5302012:88
    8Mikhaylov Academy U206202223:156
    9Almaz6210311:186


    Western Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1SKA-Akademiya8500317:1910
    2Tayfun7302219:198
    3Amurskie Tigry7300414:176
    4Krylya Sovetov5202112:166
    5MHC Spartak MAX5200313:164
    6Sakhalinskie Akuly7200514:244
    7Kapitan5100412:162
    8AKM-Junior510048:192
    9Dinamo Karelia8010713:462
    10Atlant6001512:241
    11Red Mashine500056:280


    Eastern Conference - Gold Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Omskie Yastreby8710040:1016
    2Irbis8610130:1914
    3Stalnye Lisy7600129:1312
    4Avto8500329:2910
    5Chaika8410323:2210
    6Belye Medvedi8310427:258
    7Mamonty Yugry6212117:148
    8Tolpar7211327:237
    9Kuznetskie Medvedi8210519:316


    Eastern Conference - Silver Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Molot Perm7420131:2112
    2Sibirskie Snaipery8400430:208
    3Reaktor6301214:157
    4Sputnik Almetievsk7300428:296
    5Ladya7210419:206
    6AKM-Novomoskovsk7202322:276
    7Loko-765201215:145
    8Krasnoyarskie Rysi8111515:285
    9Snezhnye Barsy9100817:482
    10Tyumensky Legion5000513:310

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