Tolpar vs Chaika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey MHL Tolpar - Chaika
Result
4:7
25/12/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: MHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 04:13, 0 - 1, Glinsky M. (G), Opolinsky M. (A), Glazunov M. (A2)
  • 08:44, 1 - 1, Pykhtin D. (G),
  • 11:33, 1 - 2, Svishchyov K. (G), Omelyusik D. (A),
  • 13:43, 2 - 2, Zagrebin M. (G), Khafzetdinov A. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 03:37, 2 - 3, Svishchyov K. (G), Omelyusik D. (A), Kulyabin A. (A2)
  • 04:46, 3 - 3, Volkov D. (G), Bryksin A. (A), Zharovskiy A. (A2)
  • 05:53, 3 - 4, Melnikov Y. (G), Matyuk A. (A), Chesnokov I. (A2)
  • 11:39, 3 - 5, Glinsky M. (G), Anisimov A. (A), Svishchyov K. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 08:59, 4 - 5, Petrenko D. (G), Kurbatov M. (A), Sharifyanov S. (A2)
  • 10:49, 4 - 6, Omelyusik D. (G), Glinsky M. (A), Chesnokov G. (A2)
  • 16:05, 4 - 7, Svishchyov K. (G),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tolpar
35.3%
Draw
24.5%
Chaika
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 23.2% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 24.4% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tolpar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tolpar's form might have worsened.
  • Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaika's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolpar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tolpar - Chaika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.07)
    3.83
    (4.04)
    2.34
    (2.96)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tolpar won 1.
    • Recent matches Tolpar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chaika is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Chaika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tolpar won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 46:49 (average 2.3:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tolpar won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:18 (average 2.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Chaika were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Chaika - Tolpar 2:1
    25.12.2023 Tolpar - Chaika 4:3
    24.12.2023 Tolpar - Chaika 3:5
    28.10.2023 Chaika - Tolpar 6:1
    27.10.2023 Chaika - Tolpar 2:1
    Latest results of Tolpar
    18.12.2024 Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti 2:5
    11.12.2024 Chaika - Tolpar 2:1
    09.12.2024 Irbis Kazan - Tolpar 4:3
    29.11.2024 Ladya Togliatti - Tolpar 2:5
    21.11.2024 Tolpar - Avto 6:4
    Latest results of Chaika
    19.12.2024 Loko-76 - Chaika 2:3
    16.12.2024 AKM Novomoskovsk - Chaika 0:4
    11.12.2024 Chaika - Tolpar 2:1
    09.12.2024 Chaika - Ladya Togliatti 2:4
    06.12.2024 Chaika - Omskye Yastreby 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1MHC SpartakBye
    2Dinamo-ShinnikAlmaz2 : 1
    3Mikhaylov Academy U20Bye
    4ByeDin. St. Petersburg
    5Mamonty YugryBye
    6Molot PermStalnye Lisy0 : 2
    7ChaikaBye
    8ByeBelye Medvedi
    9SKA-1946Bye
    10Krasnaya ArmiyaAtlant2 : 1
    11LokoBye
    12Dyn. MoscowKrylya Sovetov2 : 1
    13Omskie YastrebyBye
    14LadyaAvto0 : 2
    15IrbisBye
    16TolparKuznetskie Medvedi0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1MHC SpartakDinamo-Shinnik3 : 1
    2Mikhaylov Academy U20Din. St. Petersburg1 : 3
    3Mamonty YugryStalnye Lisy3 : 0
    4ChaikaBelye Medvedi3 : 1
    5SKA-1946Krasnaya Armiya3 : 0
    6LokoDyn. Moscow3 : 2
    7Omskie YastrebyAvto3 : 0
    8IrbisKuznetskie Medvedi2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1MHC SpartakDin. St. Petersburg3 : 1
    2Mamonty YugryChaika1 : 3
    3SKA-1946Loko3 : 0
    4Omskie YastrebyKuznetskie Medvedi3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MHC SpartakChaika4 : 2
    2SKA-1946Omskie Yastreby4 : 2

    Final
    1MHC SpartakSKA-19464 : 3