Result
5:1
21/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 06:29, 1 - 0, Yablokov A. (G), Bazhenov D. (A), Porada I. (A2)
- 13:27, 2 - 0, Fomin V. (G), Voroshilov A. (A), Kurnin S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 02:23, 3 - 0, Porada I. (G), Maslenitsyn M. (A), Zubov D. (A2)
- 15:31, 4 - 0, Maslenitsyn M. (G), Porada I. (A), Luzin I. (A2)
- 16:27, 4 - 1, Degtyarev M. (G), Zhuk A. (A), Shebyakin M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19:12, 5 - 1, Kochetkov A. (G),
Chances of winning
Loko-76
33.4% | Draw
22.5% | Tolpar
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loko-76 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loko-76's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loko-76 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loko-76, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Loko-76 - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.24) |
4.2 ↑
(4.05) |
2.15 ↓
(2.54) |
5.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko-76 won 1.
- Loko-76 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Loko-76 has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Loko-76 will win today's game, with odds of 2.78.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Loko-76 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 43:54. (average 3.1:3.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loko-76 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 3.1:3.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Loko-76 won against Tolpar?
Loko-76 has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Loko-76?
Tolpar has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loko-76 - Tolpar were as follows:
16.02.2025
Tolpar
-
Loko-76
0:6
15.02.2025
Tolpar
-
Loko-76
4:3
29.10.2024
Loko-76
-
Tolpar
4:7
28.10.2024
Loko-76
-
Tolpar
0:2
20.12.2023
Tolpar
-
Loko-76
5:4
Latest results of Loko-76
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko | 51 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 229:89 | 88 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 50 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 188:112 | 76 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 | 50 | 31 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 203:113 | 73 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 49 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 168:110 | 73 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 48 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 186:120 | 71 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 158:108 | 65 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 49 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 144:113 | 63 |
| 8 | Almaz | 51 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 161:149 | 61 |
| 9 | Din. St. Petersburg | 49 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 160:140 | 58 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krylya Sovetov | 52 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 132:149 | 57 |
| 2 | Tayfun | 51 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 132:134 | 56 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 51 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 144:170 | 54 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 50 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 153:159 | 51 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 51 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 135:151 | 48 |
| 6 | Amurskie Tigry | 51 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 118:163 | 46 |
| 7 | Kapitan | 53 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 133:163 | 45 |
| 8 | Atlant | 50 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 136:161 | 43 |
| 9 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 48 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 110:139 | 40 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 50 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 122:240 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 50 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 81:262 | 7 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 52 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 194:106 | 74 |
| 2 | Irbis | 48 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 161:99 | 71 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy | 47 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 161:115 | 64 |
| 4 | Chaika | 49 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 143:139 | 61 |
| 5 | Mamonty Yugry | 48 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 128:115 | 61 |
| 6 | Tolpar | 48 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 170:133 | 60 |
| 7 | Avto | 48 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 154:147 | 59 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 47 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 140:136 | 53 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 51 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 126:167 | 46 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 51 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 146:110 | 69 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 48 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 139:102 | 64 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 49 | 28 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 166:106 | 63 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 49 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 158:143 | 57 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 52 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 168:201 | 49 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 50 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 117:154 | 42 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 49 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 128:180 | 38 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 50 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 103:197 | 32 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 48 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 99:196 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 46 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 98:201 | 19 |
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